Pennsylvania 2014 Discussion Thread

[Tender Branson]

Quinnipiac has their own PA poll out today, so we'll see if they back up PPPs findings:

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[Tender Branson]

Corbett's numbers still in the trash-can:

GovRun. Do you believe that Governor Corbett should run for re-election or do you believe he should step aside so another Republican candidate can represent the party in the 2014 election for governor? (231 registered Republicans)

44% step aside
42% run for re-election

DesREGov. Do you believe that Tom Corbett has done a good enough job as Governor to deserve reelection, or do you believe it is time for a change? (all RV voters)

20% deserves re-election
67% time for a change

IntFav. Please let me know your opinion of some people involved in politics today. Is your opinion of [FILL name] favorable, unfavorable, undecided, or haven’t you heard enough about [FILL name] to have an opinion? (rotated)

TOM CORBETT: 23-52 unfavorable

https://edisk.fandm.edu/FLI/keystone/pdf/keyoct13.pdf

[Tender Branson]

Guarantee another (independent) pollster shows a much-smaller-than-seventeen-point-lead for Wolf.

Nope, bigger:

Q. If the Democratic primary election for Governor were held today, who would you vote for: Tom Wolf, Rob McCord, Katie McGinty, or Allyson Schwartz?

50% Wolf
15% Schwartz
15% McCord
  5% McGinty

Pennsylvania Governor Democratic Primary Poll
May 12-13, 2014

http://www.harperpolling.com/polls/pennsylvania-governor-democratic-primary-poll

[Tender Branson]

Is PA so difficult to poll seriously?

I mean, the last poll was made in February...

PPP will poll there this weekend.

And Quinnipiac's next PA poll is long overdue as well.

[Tender Branson]

What's the latest on new polling between Corbett-Wolf matchup ?

PPP is polling Pennsylvania this weekend.

And Quinnipiac's next poll will probably be PA too, because their last poll was from February and all other states have been polled since. Maybe out next week too ?

[Tender Branson]

Rassy says Wolf+20

Rick Santorum is already counting the days to November when he's finally not the biggest looooser anymore in Pennsylvania ...

Congrats, Phil !

[Tender Branson]

Rassy says Wolf+20

Rick Santorum is already counting the days to November when he's finally not the biggest looooser anymore in Pennsylvania ...

Congrats, Phil !

I will defend Phil, he has never said "Corbett will win." He has said "Corbett can still recover". That's definitely not the same thing, and if the Dem nominee were Schwartzn Corbett would perform much better right now.


And seriously, Rassy lol, I don't buy it, 20 points, too big.

I meant that Phil can be happy if Corbett loses by a bigger margin than Santorum ...

[Tender Branson]

And seriously, Rassy lol, I don't buy it, 20 points, too big.

There were already 2 other polls that have shown 20-point leads for Wolf.

And let's see what PPP has next week (and probably Quinnipiac).

I definitely can see how Wolf is ahead by 20 right now, if Corbett is in the low 30s in terms of favorability.

And Wolf on the other hand is quite popular, if I remember correctly.

All of this can still change until election day, but right now it looks good ...

[Tender Branson]

From Quinnipiac:

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http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll