2013 Elections in Germany

[Tender Branson]

A few AfD (Alternative for Germany) posters:



"The German Spring will begin this Fall."

"Debt does not erase debt."

"The old parties are annihilating our money. Sometimes conservative, sometimes social, sometimes liberal. But always steadily."

"The Greeks suffer, the Germans pay and the banks are cashing in."

"Those who save the banks today, will rob your piggybank tomorrow."

[Tender Branson]

German election billboards seem easy enough to make: take a stock photo, add a party logo somewhere, and then attach a corny partisan message of some kind.

Indeed. Those posters sort of amplifies the stereo-type of strict humourless Germans very well.

This is what an election poster is suppouse to look like:

I think the old posters are much better anyway:



"So that this ain't thy destiny - Vote ÖVP."

[Tender Branson]

Because today seems to be poster-posting day, I have some more:



We demand atonement !



Vote Gleißner !


 
Suffering and need reign wherever the ÖVP dictates. Defend yourself ! Vote SPÖ !

[Tender Branson]

- CSU head and Bavarian PM Seehofer has for the x-th time called for introducing a toll on foreign passenger cars that are using German motorways (a little bit of Austrian-bashing is obviously still expected to thrill the Bavarian electorate). Leading SPD and Grüne politicians have for the y-th time reminded Seehofer that such a toll is not permitted under EU regulation (yawn..).

I would not be opposed to a toll for foreign cars on Bavarian motorways (especially Austrian cars), if ...

... in turn we can introduce 2000€ tuition fees for German students that crowd our universities

[Tender Branson]

C = Chronical
S = Self-Serving
U = Union

[Tender Branson]

New ARD and ZDF polls are out and together with the new Forsa poll, the average is:

46% CDU/CSU-FDP
45% SPD-Greens-Left
  3% Pirates
  6% Others

Holiday-season will be over soon, but it seems the polls have shown no significant changes.

[Tender Branson]

New YouGov poll on likely turnout:



69% - Yes, will vote
16% - Undecided
12% - Will not vote
  2% - No opinion

http://www.zeit.de/politik/deutschland/2013-08/yougov-umfrage-bundestagswahl

History shows that only a tiny amount of the "Undecided" people are voting as well.

So ca. 70% turnout (+/- 3%)

[Tender Branson]

Today at 7pm local (in ca. 1 hour) a town-hall style discussion with SPD-frontrunner Steinbrück takes place at RTL.

You can watch it here:

http://schoener-fernsehen.com

Click on "RTL".

[Tender Branson]

Look at the following epic charts:

[Tender Branson]

Has there been any poll so far that shows how the SPD would do if Hannelore Kraft were the Chancellor candidate ?

SPD would still lose of course, but by how much ?

[Tender Branson]

A couple of "election ?" posters from the NPD:



"Money for the [German] grandma, instead of Sinti & Roma."

"Asylum home ? No, thanks. Today we are tolerant, tomorrow we are strangers within our own country."



"Secure living. Stop the asylum-flood."

"Maria, instead of Scharia."

"Fighting crime. Secure the borders !"

http://www.spiegel.de/international/germany/right-wing-protests-over-asylum-shelter-in-berlin-a-917832.html

[Tender Branson]

Where can I find the German "Wahlkabine" ?

[Tender Branson]

I got ca. 80% Greens, 75% SPD, 70% Pirates, 65% FW - with the CSU last (NPD actually not last - maybe that's because they have some "reasonable" (left) positions on social issues).

I found the dancing nights question funny.

[Tender Branson]

In the last Infratest dimap poll (one of the 2 "exit pollsters"), the SPD has slipped to the lowest level since November 2009 - 24%:

http://www.infratest-dimap.de/en/umfragen-analysen/bundesweit/sonntagsfrage

[Tender Branson]

Die Grünen: Die Aussagen der Partei stimmen zu 72% mit Ihren überein
Die Linke: Die Aussagen der Partei stimmen zu 69% mit Ihren überein
SPD: Die Aussagen der Partei stimmen zu 34% mit Ihren überein
FDP: Die Aussagen der Partei stimmen zu 31% mit Ihren überein
CDU/CSU: Die Aussagen der Partei stimmen zu 24% mit Ihren überein

[Tender Branson]

How do you think the Syria-situation will impact the election ?

Probably no effect on the main parties, slight gains for the Greens and the Left ?

Losses for the Pirates, because the spy-scandal is being side-lined ?

[Tender Branson]

1. Pirates - 82%
2. Left - 81%
3. Greens - 77%
4. SPD - 73%
5. NPD - 62%
6. FDP - 56%
7. AfD  - 46%
8. CDU/CSU - 43%

NPD seems relatively high up there.

[Tender Branson]

Vote abstention
definitely          7% (-4)
possibly          21% (+9)

Points to ca. 70-75% turnout.

And is lower than here: Here, 80% say they will definitely vote, 10% maybe, 10% not.

[Tender Branson]

Has anyone tried the National-o-mat ?

http://neue-rheinpresse.de/politik/rechter-entscheidungshelfer-fuer-die-bundestagswahl-2013-der-national-o-mat-ist-da

Helping right-wingers find their ideal party ...

[Tender Branson]

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[Tender Branson]

Tomorrow is the Chancellor debate.

4 or 6 TV channels will show it live.

Ca. 15-20 Mio. Germans will watch (out of 80, and 65 of voting-age).

[Tender Branson]

I think Hesse definitely needs a thread on its own.

[Tender Branson]

BTW, the ZDF live-stream does not work abroad, at least not here.

Phoenix works.

Not that I need it anyway, because I have all of those channels on my cable-TV in HD.

[Tender Branson]

ARD live stream works abroad too:

http://live.daserste.de/int/index.html#programm

Merkel vs. Steinbrück debate starts in ca. 1 hour.

[Tender Branson]

As expected Steinbrück opens the debate in a robotic way.