KY-Sen, PPP: McConnell in the lead

[Tender Branson]

Great news! And this is with a heavily Democratic sample too. The real electorate will likely have voted for Romney by 25 points.

The sample in this poll is 52D, 39R.

For your information: The actual registration is 54D, 38R.

Which means it's not "heavily Dem".

And who knows what your "real" electorate will be like in a year ...

[Tender Branson]

Great news! And this is with a heavily Democratic sample too. The real electorate will likely have voted for Romney by 25 points.

The sample in this poll is 52D, 39R.

For your information: The actual registration is 54D, 38R.

Which means it's not "heavily Dem".

And who knows what your "real" electorate will be like in a year ...

Mr. Romney won Kentucky by 22 points. It is not particularly likely that such a state would produce an electorate that only voted for Mr. Romney by a mere 16 points in the 2014 elections.

PPP's prior poll of course had that Grimes in the lead.

This is all still well within the MoE though.

The questions about "who did you vote for in 2012 ?" are always a bit misleading, because people may have not voted (this is a RV poll, not a likely voter poll). Turnout in KY was 60% among RV last year, so the registered who didn't vote might also lean more Dem ... ?