Slovakia gay marriage/adoption/sex education referendum - Feb. 7, 2015

[Tender Branson]

A referendum will be held in Slovakia on Saturday, 7 February 2015.

Voters will be asked three questions:

* Should the definition of marriage be restricted to a union of a man and woman?

* Should same-sex partners be prevented from adopting children?

* Should children be exempted from sex education classes at school if their parents do not wish them to attend?

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Slovak_same-sex_marriage_referendum,_2015

Poll I found:

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[Tender Branson]

Eastern Europe still suxx on this issue.

[Tender Branson]

From what I understand, the Slovak constitution already bans same-sex marriage.

Does anyone know if this is a referendum that would change the constitution if a majority votes "No" and has 50%+ turnout, or not ?

If not, what's the point of asking Question 1 (SSM), if there's already a ban ?

They could just ask Q2 and Q3.

[Tender Branson]

Slovak opinion on gay rights has turned a lot more liberal in recent years

By "a lot more liberal" you mean going from 86% opposition in a 2006 poll to ca. 80% in the 2014 poll I posted above ?

[Tender Branson]

At bit of background:

http://visegradrevue.eu/?p=3215

I wonder if the referendum results will be anywhere close to the Mississippi results (86%) ...

Considering the usual underpolling. So, when the poll says 80% opposed, could it be in fact 86% ?

[Tender Branson]

At bit of background:

http://visegradrevue.eu/?p=3215

I wonder if the referendum results will be anywhere close to the Mississippi results (86%) ...

Considering the usual underpolling. So, when the poll says 80% opposed, could it be in fact 86% ?

What poll?

The one I posted in the 1st post (but it's already old and from last year).

[Tender Branson]

Well, here's my prediction:

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Official results tomorrow here:

http://volbysr.sk/en/index.html

[Tender Branson]

Given that the opponents advocate a boycot I think the Yes percentage will be much higher (85-90%+) and the turnout much lower (around 25%). 38% would be quite a high turnout for a Slovakian referendum.

Did they really call for a boycott of the referendum, or did they just boycott the debates like you posted ? I didn't follow this lately ...

Anyway, turnout could be anywhere between 20-40% - depending on the motivation of the homophobic right-wingers.

[Tender Branson]

One final poll was conducted:

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http://spectator.sme.sk/c/20053326/referendum-might-be-unvalid-poll-suggests.html

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http://spectator.sme.sk/c/20053360/slovaks-are-most-tolerant-of-sexual-education-question.html

Might be worse than the Mississippi results after all.

[Tender Branson]

What a meaningless referendum.

The only thing we know now is that 20% of Slovak voters oppose gay marriage and 1% supports it.

And it changes nothing anyway, because the Slovak constitution already bans gay marriage and adoption.

If we take into account the pre-election polls, 85% of all Slovaks oppose gay marriage - which means a long, long time is still necessary to evolve on this issue.