Loras IA D: Hillary 62% Bernie 24% (user search)
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  Loras IA D: Hillary 62% Bernie 24% (search mode)
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Author Topic: Loras IA D: Hillary 62% Bernie 24%  (Read 1611 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« on: October 28, 2015, 01:02:37 AM »
That's the Katy Perry bump, which is responsible for lifting Hillary's numbers by 20%.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #1 on: October 28, 2015, 01:29:39 AM »
Quote from: Mr. Morden on October 28, 2015, 01:12:13 AM
Selzer's definitely the gold standard for Iowa caucus polling.  Though last minute momentum in primaries or caucuses is often strong enough that whoever is in the field last ends up being most accurate in the end.  In the 2012 caucuses, ARG (!) ended up being about as accurate with their last poll as Selzer was, simply because ARG's poll came closer to caucus day.

ARG only copied Selzer's results and posted them on their website.

ARG is a fraud.
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