Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
Posts: 58,198
Political Matrix E: -6.06, S: -4.84
|
|
« on: May 08, 2016, 09:26:59 AM » |
|
The VEP (voting eligible population) should be around 230 Mio. people in this election.
I think turnout could be between 55-60% of the VEP, as usual.
A few months ago, I thought Trump vs. Hillary would have relatively low turnout because both candidates are so epically disgusting to voters.
But with the good turnout in the primaries, I think the GE will have normal turnout (fewer Blacks compared with 2008/2012 turning out, which is compensated by more Hispanics turning out).
Whites and Asians should have regular turnout.
|