Ohio will also depend a lot on the popularity of Gov. Strickland at the time of the election. Even though he won't be on the ballot, I imagine his influence will be large. I believe he has already endorsed Clinton and the Columbus Dispatch recently ran a "what if..." editorial depicting a fictional phone call between Clinton and Strickland in which Clinton asks Strickland to be her running mate in order to improve her chances in Ohio. I doubt that she will choose our governor to run with her but anything could happen. Regardless, I think that Strickland will have a sizable impact on the election and the Ohio result will be tied closely to his popularity.
Well as I said in another thread, he currently has a 59-32 rating. What's impressive though, is he has a net positive among Republicans and conservatives:
http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=4a083a4d-17a8-4274-b7d1-1a357e72a0d7
I actually don't mind Governor Strickland.
You are nor alone. Today´s Quinnipiac polls shows him with a 61-15 approval rating, his highest yet.
Democrats approve 68-13, Republicans 54-19 and Indies by 59-14.
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1322.xml?ReleaseID=1082