would hillary win any bush states? (user search)
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  would hillary win any bush states? (search mode)
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Author Topic: would hillary win any bush states?  (Read 6414 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« on: July 09, 2007, 07:46:11 AM »

Yes. IA, NM, OH with a slightly worse chance of picking up NV, CO, MO and FL.

Possibly AR. There are only a few older polls out there showing her ahead of Huckabee by double-digits. She was also ahead of Giuliani/McCain in the 2006 SUSA polls. But lets wait until early 2008 to see if AR is really competetive for her.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #1 on: July 11, 2007, 07:37:47 AM »

Ohio will also depend a lot on the popularity of Gov. Strickland at the time of the election.  Even though he won't be on the ballot, I imagine his influence will be large.  I believe he has already endorsed Clinton and the Columbus Dispatch recently ran a "what if..." editorial depicting a fictional phone call between Clinton and Strickland in which Clinton asks Strickland to be her running mate in order to improve her chances in Ohio.  I doubt that she will choose our governor to run with her but anything could happen.  Regardless, I think that Strickland will have a sizable impact on the election and the Ohio result will be tied closely to his popularity.

Well as I said in another thread, he currently has a 59-32 rating. What's impressive though, is he has a net positive among Republicans and conservatives:

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=4a083a4d-17a8-4274-b7d1-1a357e72a0d7

I actually don't mind Governor Strickland.

You are nor alone. Today´s Quinnipiac polls shows him with a 61-15 approval rating, his highest yet.

Democrats approve 68-13, Republicans 54-19 and Indies by 59-14.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1322.xml?ReleaseID=1082
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