If Ds win the Senate in 2018, probability it was due to an "out of class" flip? (user search)
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  If Ds win the Senate in 2018, probability it was due to an "out of class" flip? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Given a D-Senate, what's the probability it arose due to appointment/special election/party switch?
#1
0-10%		  
#2
10-20%		  
#3
20-30%		  
#4
30-40%		  
#5
40-50%		  
#6
50-60%		  
#7
60-70%		  
#8
70-80%		  
#9
80%-90%		  
#10
90-100%		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 40

Author Topic: If Ds win the Senate in 2018, probability it was due to an "out of class" flip?  (Read 2829 times)
jamestroll
jamespol
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Posts: 10,538
« on: January 13, 2017, 02:53:32 PM »
Quote from: Klartext89 on January 13, 2017, 07:07:27 AM
Some here are either totally delusional or they simply have too much time.

Why would predictions about 2018 or 2020 right now be exactly right when it has not gone that way the past few cycles.

Usually you can get a good gauge the January before. This cycle was a bit unusual. Like I said a few times, I think the Comey Letter and ObamaCare Premiums killed Clinton and potentially a few Senate candidates.
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