1/17/17 CNN ORC Poll: Trump Approval at 40% (user search)
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  1/17/17 CNN ORC Poll: Trump Approval at 40% (search mode)
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Author Topic: 1/17/17 CNN ORC Poll: Trump Approval at 40%  (Read 3302 times)
jamestroll
jamespol
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« on: January 17, 2017, 06:21:16 PM »

The same overconfidence that led Ds to lose a very winnable senate this year will come back around to Rs. I highly doubt Rs will have full control for 4 years, much less 6.

The only prediction we can make with any confidence right now is that Democrats will win one of the next several elections. Trump could well be reelected also.

I think 2018 will have encouraging results for Democrats but it may not be a mega wave. 2020 or 2022 have better potentials to be Democratic landslide years. Depending on circumstances of course.
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jamestroll
jamespol
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« Reply #1 on: January 18, 2017, 08:08:45 AM »
« Edited: January 18, 2017, 08:12:02 AM by Jimmie »

Nationally polling was not horribly bad this past cycle. The numbers were just interpreted wrong it. Polling got Hillary's support right but not Trump's. Apparently because of shy Trump voters.

Also at some point polling strategies will be fixed. We are at the point now where phone polling is sucking, but we do not have the right tools of methodology for internet polling. Unfortunately cell phones can not be auto dialed like landlines can.

But just because this board thinks Republicans will win every single election until the end of time does not mean they will!
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