NJ SENATE: NEWER MENENDEZ ADS

[Conan]

Menendez has another ad out now. It's pretty good. The smear campaign on him hasnt hurt him at all according to the SV poll. Now that hes on the airwaves, he should get his poll numbers up later in september. Heres one on security: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1AitascP7VQ
and this one on ethics and his history: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jq5X7gUWpyE This is his youtube page: http://www.youtube.com/menendez2006

[Conan]

Neither is great and neither is horrible.  The ethics ad should have sourced the prosecutor quotes.  A counter ad could also come back to bite him in the butt, if it is well done. 

The security ad is better, but would have been even better if it showed some port security activities.   You have to walk a fine line to not insult a potential voting block when you talk about stopping foreign countries from taking over ports.  It is also misleading in saying that the ports would have been sold to a foreign country.  Management rights would have been sold to a foreign company.

He quoted the newspaper the quotes were from but should have included more I suppose. The company was a state company so therefore its selling the rights to a foreign country.

[Conan]

Menendez has another ad out now. It's pretty good. The smear campaign on him hasnt hurt him at all according to the SV poll.

That's why it was a six-point in Kean's favor from last month

Whew, sure would like to see what a bad month produces

Hes within the margin of error. He has only +4. None of this 6 point anything matters. He wont have a bad month unless he gets indicted which he wont because he didnt do anything and they will wait until after the elections anyway and then just drop it entirely.

[Conan]

Menendez has another ad out now. It's pretty good. The smear campaign on him hasnt hurt him at all according to the SV poll.

That's why it was a six-point in Kean's favor from last month

Whew, sure would like to see what a bad month produces

None of this 6 point anything matters. .

Actually, that's mostly what counts, haven't you ever heard of poll swings?  Are you that blindly partisan you still think Menendez is the favorite?

Again, dumb, look at the history of poll swings, and again no it doesnt really matter on the outcome matters. If someone goes from 38 to 44 and loses the election 47-53, then that swing did a lot.