2008 Senate predictions (user search)
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Author Topic: 2008 Senate predictions  (Read 2461 times)
Conan
conan
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Posts: 3,140


« on: November 22, 2006, 05:48:26 PM »

Anyone who thinks republicans will gain any seats at this point is crazy.  Dems look like they can pick up 2 at the least.


About the same chance as the state I LIVE in giving there's to a Republican which is about 30%.  Oklahoma an NJ though opposite, are very similar.
Except Oklahoma just reelected Brad Henry in a landslide 2-1 margin.  Just elected a Dem Lt. Gov. replacing a Republican. Just reelected a Dem state auditor and inspector. Reelected their Dem Attorney General. Elected their appointed Dem State Treasurer. 3 more dems elected to statewide office on top of that and only 1 republican elected to statewide office. New Jersey on the otherhand has no republicans in statewide office. They are not gaining ground in NJ. Dems are sweeping Oklahoma so NJ and OK are not opposites besides OK dems are more moderate.
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Conan
conan
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,140


« Reply #1 on: November 22, 2006, 09:33:25 PM »

Anyone who thinks republicans will gain any seats at this point is crazy.  Dems look like they can pick up 2 at the least.


About the same chance as the state I LIVE in giving there's to a Republican which is about 30%.  Oklahoma an NJ though opposite, are very similar.
Except Oklahoma just reelected Brad Henry in a landslide 2-1 margin.  Just elected a Dem Lt. Gov. replacing a Republican. Just reelected a Dem state auditor and inspector. Reelected their Dem Attorney General. Elected their appointed Dem State Treasurer. 3 more dems elected to statewide office on top of that and only 1 republican elected to statewide office. New Jersey on the otherhand has no republicans in statewide office. They are not gaining ground in NJ. Dems are sweeping Oklahoma so NJ and OK are not opposites besides OK dems are more moderate.

Considering NJ only has 3 statewide positions, it is much easier for one party to control them all.  Second, NJ was much closer than OK in 2004.  A drastic improvment from 2000 and we are talking presidential.
That's not going to happen in 08. Republicans had hope in 2004. Now they do not. 3 statewide offices in NJ all controlled by dems doesnt make up for the 10+ dem statewide offices in OK.
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