WI-Marquette: Walker up 7

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Another GOP gov in the Midwest in addt.to Corbett will go down. If Rassy has this as the first poll out, and have it tied, Walker is in jeopordy.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This race will tighten as Burke gets better known, but Walker has a clear advantage. Lean Republican.

Walker doesn't have a clear advantage, just like in the case for IL and OH, we have yet to see a PPP poll on this race.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If you've learned anything about WI, always add 2-3 points to the Democrats' final polling numbers. They ALWAYS close well, usually due to Same Day Reg.  In 2004, this is what nipped Bush there.  In 2010, it ALMOST got Feingold back in office and trimmed Walker's victory.

Except when they don't?

We certainly don't need Wisc, we need MI moreso for US senate control. It is plausible in addt to PA, that another GOP gov will go down in the Midwest.