Which seat is more likely to flip the next time it is up? Brown or Collins? (user search)
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  Which seat is more likely to flip the next time it is up? Brown or Collins? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Which of these two Senate seats is more likely to flip the next time it is up?
#1
Sherrod Brown’s seat
 
#2
Susan Collins’ seat
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 51

Author Topic: Which seat is more likely to flip the next time it is up? Brown or Collins?  (Read 854 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,981
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« on: February 12, 2021, 08:06:17 AM »

OH splits their votes for Prez and Senate, 2018 did that and it can happen in 2022/2024/ this isn't 2004/ where Ds can't win OH

Rs underestimating Ryan or Brown will do so yo their detriment.

There is writing on this forum that Ryan shouldn't even bother campaigning he is DOA, LOL, if Mandel is nominated he will he gift to Ds like STRICKLAND was to Portman
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,981
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #1 on: February 12, 2021, 12:24:31 PM »

Brown, and it really doesn’t even depend that much on whether Collins runs again or not.

You really think Brown is DoA, the only R left that is popular is Maverick DeWine, not statewide Rs that's why Renacci and Mandel lost to him
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,981
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #2 on: February 12, 2021, 06:02:41 PM »
« Edited: February 12, 2021, 06:07:51 PM by MR. KAYNE WEST »

Brown, and it really doesn’t even depend that much on whether Collins runs again or not.

You really think Brown is DoA, the only R left that is popular is Maverick DeWine, not statewide Rs that's why Renacci and Mandel lost to him


You really can't be serious, right now.... Sherrod Brown is the only elected Democrat left in Ohio and he was very lucky he ran in 2018, a year powered by a massive anti-Trump wave and faced a weak opponent in Renacci, compared to running in 2016 or 2020. Frankly, unless 2024 is at least a modest Democratic win (say a D+5 or so PV), I have a tough time seeing Brown winning. The state of Ohio is zooming to the right (it voted 10 points right of the nation in 2016, and 12 points right of the nation in 2020), so it seems on track to vote 14 points to the right of the nation, so even then in the case of a D+5 environment, I find it hard to see Brown outrunning the top of the ticket by 9 points, my guess is he can outrun by at most 7 or so points, and will outrun the ticket by more like anywhere from 3 to 5 points. Unless Ohio's rightward trend suddenly stops or reverses, Brown is in big, big trouble.

Imagine making an effort post response to Olawakandi.

It's not 2004/ again in OH, the state isn't Iowa, it has 12% AA, if anyone thinks that OH is safe R like it was in 2004/ isn't gonna be correct. It will eventually vote D

D's thought that PA was a D state until 2016/ MN, WI, MI, OH, PA have significant AA populations about 12% Iowa doesn't it's safe to assumee IA with Reynolds and Ernst will serve as long as they want


It's a plausable scenario, not likely scenario that WI, MI, PA and OH will switch sides again
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