TN Sen: SUSA sez Ford leads Corker 48-45 (user search)
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  TN Sen: SUSA sez Ford leads Corker 48-45 (search mode)
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Author Topic: TN Sen: SUSA sez Ford leads Corker 48-45  (Read 2566 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,213
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« on: September 12, 2006, 07:37:11 PM »
I am a believer now that the Dems will win back the senate.  With this new poll. Wrote their chances off, now they have a decent shot, not likely but decent.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,213
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #1 on: September 12, 2006, 08:55:18 PM »
Did I say that we were going to, I said it is a decent shot not a probable shot.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,213
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #2 on: September 12, 2006, 09:25:51 PM »
« Edited: September 12, 2006, 09:29:43 PM by Quincy »
Corker is still favored like Casey is by 6 pts but both have a chance to win. But both of them can still win, this poll only confirmed that. I am not changing my mythology, I think this race is in play now. It seems like Corker cannot get a substantial lead on Ford. I think he is leading but its within the margin of error. That's why I haven't put Ford in the lead on my map.  Zogby has Corker up by 3 and I think that that's where the race is at.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,213
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #3 on: September 13, 2006, 04:24:36 AM »
« Edited: September 13, 2006, 05:01:32 AM by Quincy »
Congressional quarterly still rates TN as lean republican. As far as TN, I wouldn't get my hopes up until a mason dixon poll comes out on both.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,213
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #4 on: September 13, 2006, 10:09:18 AM »
Quote from: opebo on September 13, 2006, 09:14:56 AM
Damn, I guess this means that if the Democrats had a white candidate in Tennessee he'd be ahead by about 15 points right now.

Anyway, I would never get my hopes up about white southerners voting for a black candidate when it comes right down to it in the voting booth.
All I am saying is that this is one poll I would wait until other polling firms confirm these polls, and so far Rasmussen and others haven't yet.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,213
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #5 on: September 14, 2006, 06:31:31 AM »
I agree the Dems aren't going to sweep all the competetive races, the best the Dems are going to do is net gain 3-4 seats. The state haven't voted for a Dem senator since 88 and Bredeson is much more conserv than Ford is.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,213
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #6 on: September 14, 2006, 09:59:01 AM »
Yea, but my other point remains they haven't sent a Dem senator in a long time . I think Ford can win but it is an uphill battle.
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