Tbh, I'm unsure.
According to polling, the race is Lean R. However, polling is a snapshot in time at best, if not flawed this cycle in particular. On the other hand, fundamentals look decent for Biden. We have to see whether polling starts to catch up with that or not. Biden has improved after his SOTU, but lately feels like the tide has turned again. At least to a certain degree.
It's a gamble to run Harris as I have stated many times, she doesn't have skyhigh Approvals like she did in 20. Abrams and Alsobrooks have higher favs than Harris now, that's why Newsom on new shows is prepping for a run in 28. Should Also brooks nab the S seat she will be the fav to run with Newsom in 28
But, all we need is 278 WI, PA, MI, NH and NV and VA, Harris Approvals can get Biden that
It's tilt Biden unless he loses because it's J6, Trump, users need to stop blaming Biden Harris polls are low, it's not low with me but with Rs
We went thru the same situation with Pence he had higher Approval in 16 than 20