PA: Fabrizio Ward (R) / Impact Research Trump + 4 (user search)
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2024 U.S. Presidential Election
  2024 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, GeorgiaModerate, KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸)
  PA: Fabrizio Ward (R) / Impact Research Trump + 4 (search mode)
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Author Topic: PA: Fabrizio Ward (R) / Impact Research Trump + 4  (Read 637 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,333
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P
« on: May 07, 2024, 01:23:05 PM »
Yeah sure, Biden isn't losing PA with Bob Casey it's within the MOE our Early vote and we outvoted Rs 950/750K on April 23rd now I know all these polls are jinx
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,333
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P
« Reply #1 on: May 07, 2024, 01:33:32 PM »
Quote from: Matty on May 07, 2024, 01:30:17 PM
This is a legit bad poll for Biden in my view.

AARP is generally a d-leaning outlet and their polls in 2020 had a D bias

Lol it's MOE 4 pts just 🛑🛑🛑

Trump isn't leading outside the MOE in any 303 even AZ is 6% Rs thinks it's so terrible that Biden is losing MOE
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,333
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P
« Reply #2 on: May 07, 2024, 02:17:07 PM »
If Biden is up 1 in AZ he isn't losing PA, that's why I say stop worrying
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,333
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P
« Reply #3 on: May 07, 2024, 03:32:08 PM »
Everytime Biden does well in polls, the AZ polls is splendid news, a poll pops up with Trump winning, but we know what's happening in CRT, voters are t gonna stand for a J6 Trump
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,333
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P
« Reply #4 on: May 08, 2024, 06:08:11 AM »
Quote from: LAKISYLVANIA on May 08, 2024, 05:14:44 AM
Quote from: wbrocks67 on May 07, 2024, 01:50:27 PM
Urban
2020 exit poll: Biden +50 (74-24)
2024 poll: Biden +22 (56-38)

Suburban
2020 exit poll: Trump +3 (51-48)
2024 poll: tie (47-47)

Rural
2020 exit poll: Trump +39 (69-30)
2024 poll: Trump +36 (65-29)

lmao, same results basically as 2020 (3% better in both suburbs and rural for Biden, actually) but a 28% drop for Biden in urban areas. Haven't seen this at all before this cycle!!

That's what i've been telling people for quite some time. It's really people in urban areas that'll just stay home. If less people in urban votes where Biden can crank up the vote turn out, there will be less votes to overcome the disadvantage in non-urban areas.

urban areas is where the young people, afro-americans etc all live. It's there the issue lays for Biden. every poll shows this over & over again.

Biden really isn't a good fit for urban USA.

Lol we outvoted Rs in PA last Tues Aor 23rd when you weren't here 900/700K and it's a poll of MOE 4%, it's the same as the MN poll that has Trump up 4 same pollster
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,333
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P
« Reply #5 on: May 08, 2024, 07:11:15 AM »
« Edited: May 08, 2024, 07:15:08 AM by Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers »
I don't see that until we vote, I just see what the vote is, I don't worry too much about polls there are there to drive a narrative
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,333
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P
« Reply #6 on: May 08, 2024, 07:29:40 AM »
Quote from: Donald Trump’s Toupée on May 08, 2024, 07:21:59 AM
If Trump takes PA, the election is over.

Biden is fuc ked.


It's a MOE poll cmon, it's the same exact poll that Emerson found a few weeks ago, next
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