Latest Generic Polls: Ras +12%R; WSJ 6%R; Gallup 15%R; CNN 10R; Fox13R; Bloom 3R (user search)
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  Latest Generic Polls: Ras +12%R; WSJ 6%R; Gallup 15%R; CNN 10R; Fox13R; Bloom 3R (search mode)
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Author Topic: Latest Generic Polls: Ras +12%R; WSJ 6%R; Gallup 15%R; CNN 10R; Fox13R; Bloom 3R  (Read 25583 times)
Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« on: October 31, 2010, 11:00:12 PM »

Just remember, generic polling can show you one thing, but as the Australian election showed, it's all about the state/regional/local swings... when you have a lot of close seats, you can get a big swag of seats with a tiny swing, and the reverse can be true too, a significant swing but if the margins are big enough it'll deliver only a few seats.

I'm generally VERY hesitant about 'generic' polling where there are 535 congressional seats up for grabs...
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