Make up a map between you and the preceding poster. (user search)
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  Make up a map between you and the preceding poster. (search mode)
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Author Topic: Make up a map between you and the preceding poster.  (Read 54219 times)
Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« on: May 01, 2013, 09:24:52 PM »



This would be very close... I think this would come down to a few states and a handful of votes.

Gov. Polnut (P-IL) 277ev - 49.5%
Sen. Clinton (D-GA) 261ev - 48.9%
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #1 on: June 30, 2013, 10:14:57 PM »



Gov. Polnut (D-IL) - 394EV - 54.6%
Sen. Goldwater (R-WA) - 144EV - 42.1%

Goldwater suffers from low social conservative support, leading to depressed turnout in the South. His strength is the mountain west, leaving Colorado the closest state, but I hold the Democratic coalition together and have stronger support from working class whites. There is probably a strongish 3rd party focusing on social conservatism and further weakens Goldwater. He also benefits in some parts by sheer virtue of there being an (R) next to his name, which enables him to hold the upper South, but by lower margins than the current norm.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #2 on: October 16, 2013, 06:39:03 PM »



I think Enderman probably won the primary due to a divided party and his being from a swing state. But his enthusiasm and 'peppiness' unnerves moderates presents a pretty clear win for me... Tongue

P: 348 - 53.5%
E: 190 - 46.5%
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #3 on: October 17, 2013, 08:04:34 PM »



P: 367 - 53%
G: 171 - 43%
O: 0 - 4%

This is tricky - I think there are states that we'd both win purely by virtue of the letters next our names. I think the battle grounds will be the South, primarily, NC, GA, SC and FL, the South West, CO and NV in particular as well as NH.

Goldwater's social liberalism triggers a small but damaging conservative third-party candidate. This swings borderline Southern states to me, and lowers the margins across the South, but CO and NV flip back into the R column. The closest states would be GA, CO and NH. His base in the NW gives him a boost in WA, OR and CA - but not enough to flip them.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #4 on: February 13, 2014, 06:11:00 PM »



An intensely close primary

Gov. Polnut (D-IL) v Gov. Scott (D-CT)

Gov Scott's religiousness helps flip most of the South and a lot local support in the Northeast. I get good support from the latino communities and do well in the West and the upper mid-west. As we're both moderate, I expect to see some sort of strong left-wing candidate who could end up King-maker at the end of the day. I say it's close enough to end up brokered.
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