Politico: Problems for Harlem and Watts (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 02, 2024, 09:00:48 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  General Politics
  Political Geography & Demographics (Moderators: muon2, 100% pro-life no matter what)
  Politico: Problems for Harlem and Watts (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Politico: Problems for Harlem and Watts  (Read 2867 times)
Verily
Cuivienen
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« on: August 05, 2010, 06:22:38 PM »
« edited: August 05, 2010, 06:27:09 PM by Verily »

Interesting, although I think we knew this already. None of the three black districts in LA were majority black in 2000, though, and nor was Rangel's, so there's no need to draw majority black seats.

Out of curiosity, what's the partisan split on CA-46 on your map?

I'm also curious how you drew the Asian districts; I've tried both but never managed either since Dave rejigged the maps when adding partisan data.
Logged
Verily
Cuivienen
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #1 on: August 08, 2010, 11:23:10 AM »
« Edited: August 08, 2010, 11:25:34 AM by Verily »

Well, Judy Chu right now holds a seat that is 18% Asian and 62% Hispanic (15% white, 3% black), and the primary was not particularly close, so... maybe. I think an Asian would probably win CA-33 (Koreatown has outsized political influence). In CA-28, most of the whites are Republicans, so the seat should be Hispanic-held.
Logged
Verily
Cuivienen
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #2 on: August 08, 2010, 06:01:31 PM »
« Edited: August 08, 2010, 06:03:26 PM by Verily »

Out of curiosity, what's the partisan split on CA-46 on your map?

My guess would be about a D+1 district. The only really democratic areas are Gardena and a few parts of San Pedro and Long Beach. Lakewood is probably right around the national average. Torrance is lean Republican although Obama won it. And then it has some Republican territory on the Palos verdes peninsula.

Answered my own question: 58% Obama, so D+5 in 2008. It was easy to do a close approximation of the district with partisan data.

Also, Torie's completely right on the demographic info.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.025 seconds with 12 queries.