What is the bigger threat to Biden's reelection?

[SnowLabrador]

In my opinion, it's absolutely Israel/Palestine. While Biden will never get any younger, anyone who can do basic math knows that a 77-year-old (Biden's age as of the 2020 election) will be 81 four years later. Anyone who finds Biden's age a deal-breaker already voted against him last time, and ultimately, Biden doesn't need any of those voters. He just needs his own base to turn out for him...

...which is why Israel/Palestine is a far bigger problem. While I think some of the anti-Biden sentiment might be astroturfed by Russia and the GOP, there's also a lot of real anger on the ground with the administration over this issue. For so many young voters, Gaza is the main issue, and they believe Biden is committing genocide. Which, yeah, he kind of is, but let's not pretend Trump would be any better on this issue. Even if most of these people ultimately hold their nose and vote for Biden, it doesn't take that many to sink his reelection bid considering how close 2020 was.

What do you all think?