Hmmm, out of date reasonable polls (like Gallup) or up to date crap polls (like Time)
Last poll was Aug 23-25, next one I believe will be out Sept 7-9 I believe. I thought it important to quantify the pre-RNC polling data before the post RNC data due to come out for a "realistic" snapshot of the race - as opposed to the Time-Newsweek jibberish.
One other point I really didn't go into on Kerry's softening support - Gallup's data seems to suggest that Kerry's numbers began to soften before the Swifties became a household word, at least with Likely Voters. Some suggest the DNC actually rallied the opposition more than it did the Dem base. Maybe the same will happen as a result of the RNC?