Georgia's Very Own Megathread!

[Hammy]

Do the primaries have the same runoff rules as the GE or are they FPTP?

[Hammy]

Voted Abrams today, easiest primary choice in quite awhile.

[Hammy]

Yeah Evans’ campaign was awful. But Abrams’ strategy seems to basically be to ignore white voters and try and max out minority voters. Which is mathematically impossible. We would’ve been so much better off with Jason Carter.

Sure, if your goal is handing the GOP an easy win.

[Hammy]

White voters  love Abrams. She is not ignoring them. She is simply acknowledging that the black base is the heart and soul of the party.

That we are still pretending that she is unpalatable to white voters after her decisive victory in North Georgia and the North Atlanta suburbs is hilarious.

Evans had NO GROUND GAME. And spent the last few weeks of her campaign blanketing the airwaves with mistruths and slamming Abrams in her stump speeches. Just LOL at the notion continuing that Evans would be a better GE candidate. She would have motivated no one and done nothing to GOTV.

In addition, and I know I'm not speaking for all the voters, but among my family (all white , mostly women), none said they'd bother voting if Evans had won.

[Hammy]

I still see this as Lean R.

As do I. I think Abrams is running a great campaign, but 50+1 will be tough

TBH with you, I think the 50%+1 is a bit overplayed. Yes, its an obstacle, but its not an electoral wall. All you need is the more enthused base on a special election, and if its held in 2018/2019, the advantage goes to the Dems.

I rate this race as pure tossup, as I dont know the R, and how strong each R would be in the general.

I'm going with Lean R for the race--Dems will probably get the most votes, but Georgia isn't FPTP and I can't see them getting 50% quite yet. Maybe in a few years, but it likely won't be this year though I'd love to be proven wrong.

[Hammy]

With tonight's primary results Kemp effectively becomes the next Georgia governor.

[Hammy]

With tonight's primary results Kemp effectively becomes the next Georgia governor.

Not true, but whatever.

People here love ignoring the fact that you need 50%+1 in Georgia to avoid a runoff--something Dems can't do because their voters have a habit of getting overconfident, deciding they won already, and feeling their one or two votes not showing up won't matter.

[Hammy]

With tonight's primary results Kemp effectively becomes the next Georgia governor.

Not true, but whatever.

People here love ignoring the fact that you need 50%+1 in Georgia to avoid a runoff--something Dems can't do because their voters have a habit of getting overconfident, deciding they won already, and feeling their one or two votes not showing up won't matter.

....I really doubt thats the reason GA Dems keep losing.

It's not the reason they keep losing, but it certainly doesn't help when you need all the votes you can get. Either way while Abrams is the best shot the state Dems have had in quite awhile, I just can't see any Dem making that 50% threshhold though I would be ecstatic if proven wrong.

[Hammy]

LMAO that "SHADY DAVID SHAFER" meme really worked:

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Geoff Duncan   278,750   50.1%   
David Shafer   277,110   49.9   

I HATE David Shafer! This warms my heart.

Has this race been moved from Likely to Lean Republican yet?

Why? I'm just curious.. Don't know much about either..

Slimy and corrupt, had his friends make some accusations of sexual harassing a lobbyist "go away" right before the election, and thought he was owed the seat. It's obnoxious when any politician thinks they deserve a seat due to whatever crap he or she has carried out for businesses and other politicians.

The first Abrams and Kemp attacks are in. I saw the Abrams commercial a couple of times this morning getting ready for work.

That quick? wow.

Abrams ad 7/10. Very good, but not great. The ad uses Kemp's own ads against him,which is genious, and some of those still shots are hilarious. But the ad fails to really grab viewer, and the news cycle at the beginning would have been better suited at the end.

Kemp ad 3/10 Its a typical scary ad, and poor at that. The focus on Hillary is actually bad considering this is one of the few states that trended D when the whole nation trended R. They seem to not use anything else other than she is a Radical D who will raise taxes, and is funded by Nancy Pelosi, like I havent heard that before. Not creative, and rather poor.(of course this ad was made by the RNC.)

The entire GOP strategy lately seems like nothing but telling people who blindly vote for them to start with whatever they want to hear to get them to turn out rather than putting even the tiniest effort into winning swing votes.