Which of these French Regions will the UMP win ?

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In Corse, what has been picked up by the media is the total annihilation of the right, I mean they got 21% with no dissident lists. With the left certainly going to unite, the question there is whether or not the UMP can manage to come second in the runoff or if they'll fall third behind Simeoni. It's lost.

Even in Alsace, the left is ahead of the right. Richert can win with around 50% of MoDem voters, almost all Alsace d'abord voters (they voted Zeller in 2004, not FN. The UMP can hold it.

In Guyane, it all depends on what the dissidents do. Apart from Roger Arel, I know next to nothing about the DVD candidates and whether or not they're egomaniacs or results of a major civil war inside the right which makes them hostile to the official candidate. Though a UMP victory here wouldn't be surprising: Alexandre is a good popular centre-left candidate, Taubira is an annoying sod and has never been amazingly popular in local elections in Guyane, and a UMP victory would make funds from Paris easier to come through.

No chances in any other regions. 

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In Corse, what has been picked up by the media is the total annihilation of the right, I mean they got 21% with no dissident lists. With the left certainly going to unite, the question there is whether or not the UMP can manage to come second in the runoff or if they'll fall third behind Simeoni. It's lost.

Unity has been reached between the 4 left lists in Corse.
Game over for the UMP.
And game over for Giacobbi as Sarkozy's minister

Yes, indeed. Giacobbi will be President of the executive and Bucchini the Communist will be President of the assembly. First big regional spot for a communist.

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And game over for Giacobbi as Sarkozy's minister

He was considered as likely to join the government ? Didn't know.

Yes, back in September/October 2009 or something.

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Don't forget the likely UMP victory in Limousin against a divided left!