2008 State Elections in Austria and Germany (user search)
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  2008 State Elections in Austria and Germany (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2008 State Elections in Austria and Germany  (Read 102888 times)
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Hashemite
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« on: September 15, 2007, 07:25:02 AM »
Who's LD and BZO?
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« Reply #1 on: September 21, 2007, 10:34:36 AM »
Hitler's birthday?
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« Reply #2 on: September 21, 2007, 04:40:17 PM »
Is the FPÖ that obsessed with Adolf?
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« Reply #3 on: September 22, 2007, 06:57:49 AM »
Any instances in Bayern where the CSU dropped under 50%, or 40%?
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« Reply #4 on: September 27, 2007, 10:04:35 AM »
Quote
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What is Freie Wahler? "Free Elections"?
 
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« Reply #5 on: October 08, 2007, 09:03:24 AM »
Greens?
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Hashemite
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« Reply #6 on: October 08, 2007, 09:26:01 AM »
Why so low in local ballots?
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Hashemite
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« Reply #7 on: October 27, 2007, 07:51:17 PM »
Using election.de's Mandate Calculator, and using their latest polls they show (they use Hare/Niemeyer in Hesse, d'Hondt in Lower Saxony)

Hesse:
CDU 50 (43%)
SPD 35 (30%)
Green 10 (9%)
FDP 9 (8%)
Die Linke 6 (5%)
Others 5%

Lower Saxony:
CDU 63 (45%)
SPD 46 (33%)
Green 11 (8%)
FDP 8 (6%)
Die Linke 7 (5%)
Others 3%

Hamburg:
CDU 54 (42%)
SPD 41 (32%)
Green 17 (13%)
Die Linke 9 (7%)
FDP 4%
Others 2%

Bavaria:
CDU 112 (54%)
SPD 47 (23%)
Green 21 (10%)
Others 6%
FDP 4%
Die Linke 3%
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« Reply #8 on: December 07, 2007, 04:25:05 PM »
Quote from: BenNebbich on December 07, 2007, 05:57:07 AM
it's CSU in bavaria. small but important difference.




Oh sorry, slight error on my part. Thanks for noticing.
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« Reply #9 on: December 29, 2007, 12:51:29 PM »
Quote from: Frank Force on December 29, 2007, 08:22:15 AM
Three new polls for Hamburg, Hesse and Lower Saxony were released today, all conducted by "Advanced Market Research" (never heard of that one before...).



Hesse

CDU 40%
SPD 33%
GRÜNE 10%
FDP 9%
DIE LINKE 6%

CDU/FDP and SPD/GRÜNE/DIE LINKE are tied here with 49% each.



Lower Saxony

CDU 44%
SPD 34%
GRÜNE 8%
FDP 7%
DIE LINKE 4%

Majority for CDU/FDP.



Hamburg

CDU 42%
SPD 33%
GRÜNE 12%
DIE LINKE 7%
FDP 4%

No majority for either CDU/FDP or SPD/GRÜNE.

In seats this would give

Hessen
CDU 45
SPD 37
Green 11
FDP 10

Hamburg

CDU 54
SPD 43
Green 15
Linke 9
FDP 0

Lower Saxony

CDU 64
SPD 50
Green 11
FDP 10




Linke 7
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Hashemite
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« Reply #10 on: December 29, 2007, 12:51:52 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on December 29, 2007, 12:49:04 PM
New Tyrol poll by Market:

ÖVP: 45%
SPÖ: 25%
Greens: 15%
FPÖ: 8%
For Tyrol: 6%
KPÖ: 1%

So it seems like the poll you posted earlier with For Tyrol at 21% was bullsh**t?
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« Reply #11 on: December 29, 2007, 12:54:50 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on December 29, 2007, 12:54:02 PM
Quote from: Attorney General Hashemite on December 29, 2007, 12:51:52 PM
Quote from: Tender Branson on December 29, 2007, 12:49:04 PM
New Tyrol poll by Market:

ÖVP: 45%
SPÖ: 25%
Greens: 15%
FPÖ: 8%
For Tyrol: 6%
KPÖ: 1%

So it seems like the poll you posted earlier with For Tyrol at 21% was bullsh**t?

Very likely, that´s why I wrote "if true" in the originial post ... Tongue Wink

On a side note, do you know of any seat calculator for Austria?
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« Reply #12 on: January 13, 2008, 09:16:36 AM »
Go Communists! Wink
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Hashemite
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« Reply #13 on: January 14, 2008, 04:49:49 PM »
Wow, the FN seems moderate compared to them.
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« Reply #14 on: January 27, 2008, 07:26:13 AM »
Any results site that would be good? In English preferably, although I remember some German from Munich.
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Hashemite
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« Reply #15 on: January 27, 2008, 12:48:09 PM »
Seats (Election.de)

CDU 43
SPD 46
Green 10
FDP 11
Linke 0
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Hashemite
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« Reply #16 on: January 27, 2008, 12:52:01 PM »
Go FDP!
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Hashemite
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« Reply #17 on: January 27, 2008, 12:59:13 PM »
Lower Saxony:

CDU 41.8 59
SPD 31.2 44
FDP 8.1 11
Green 8 11
Linke 7 10
Others 3.9

CDU/FDP majority
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« Reply #18 on: January 27, 2008, 01:02:56 PM »
Lol CDU
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Hashemite
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« Reply #19 on: January 27, 2008, 02:34:38 PM »
Lower Saxony: 4 seats CDU, 2 with majority of votes
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Hashemite
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« Reply #20 on: February 03, 2008, 07:35:33 AM »
14% for Die Linke in a West-state? Isn't that, uhm, a bit too high to be true?
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Hashemite
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« Reply #21 on: February 03, 2008, 07:43:35 AM »
Quote from: Der Schlumpf mit dem Herpes on February 03, 2008, 07:36:41 AM
Quote from: Kreizouriezh on February 03, 2008, 07:35:33 AM
14% for Die Linke in a West-state? Isn't that, uhm, a bit too high to be true?

It's a national poll, I think.

Oh yes it is, sorry.

14% is still a bit high.
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Hashemite
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« Reply #22 on: February 17, 2008, 04:07:18 PM »
Found this Bundestag election prognosis on election.de

.
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Hashemite
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« Reply #23 on: February 17, 2008, 04:45:32 PM »
Quote from: Alonzo Lot on February 17, 2008, 04:09:43 PM
Don't treat that even slightly seriously. Someone should dig up the ones they did prior to the last election. Worth a chuckle, even now.

Ah, you seem correct looking a  this page. Lolz.
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Hashemite
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« Reply #24 on: February 17, 2008, 05:09:12 PM »
Quote from: SoFA of Thunder and Consolation on February 17, 2008, 04:49:38 PM
Quote from: Kreizouriezh on February 17, 2008, 04:45:32 PM
Quote from: Alonzo Lot on February 17, 2008, 04:09:43 PM
Don't treat that even slightly seriously. Someone should dig up the ones they did prior to the last election. Worth a chuckle, even now.

Ah, you seem correct looking a  this page. Lolz.
And that's just based on a slightly too CDU friendly exit poll, not on pre-election polling.
I don't think they're still flounting their maps based on those...

How'd they do in predicting the Hessian and Lower Saxony elections recently?
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