French election maps

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Other ecolo lists

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Now for the fascists.



and now for the lolz Party



That pretty much concludes the EU election maps for now. Any further requests for any maps?

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Random question; why do FN do so (relatively) well in what is, I think, the Garonne valley [qm]

IIRC those regions have a bit less of a RadSoc tradition historically and the Lot-et-Garonne also has a strong Poujadist streak.

Also, the usual stuff (higher foreign population, higher unemployment) etc.

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% vote for Alain Madelin (DL), 2002



Funny how it's also a map of wealth in some areas.

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Do Hue v Madelin!

Sure

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% vote for Alain Madelin (DL), 2002



Funny how it's also a map of wealth in some areas.

and now, the Garden Elf, Robert Hue.



Amusing map. Quoted the Madelin map to compare the two.

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Taubira.



Amusing patterns.

I'll do a LePage and Mamere map.

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Lepage



Christmas Mymother

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Taubira.



Amusing patterns.

I'll do a LePage and Mamere map.

I see the strong performance in the Third Republic Radical strongholds.

She also got higher-than-usual votes for the PRG in the Paris 'burbs being the first black candidate and so forth.

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Christine Boutin

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*blows the ton of dust accumulated*

Unemployment map



I have data by department by quarter going back to 1982, so I can make some earlier maps if anyone has a specific request.

BTW, if you ever happen to year the Viscount boast that Vendee has the lowest unemployment, it's obviously false.

I'll do some sort of election map soon, but I have no clue of what.

So, any requests for maps at this point?

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Departmental strength of major candidates in the first round of the 1969 Presidential elections



Larger version

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Departmental strength of major candidates in the first round of the 1969 Presidential elections



Larger version

     Why did the Communist do so much better than the Socialist?

The SFIO was in an horrible state in 1969, which was just after the FGDS exploded in 1968. In addition, his centrist standing and his opposition to the 5th Republic didn't help either.

He lost lots of votes to Alain Poher and Duclos took like all Communist votes. Rocard didn't help much either.

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Departmental strength of major candidates in the first round of the 1969 Presidential elections



Larger version

     Why did the Communist do so much better than the Socialist?

The SFIO was in an horrible state in 1969, which was just after the FGDS exploded in 1968. In addition, his centrist standing and his opposition to the 5th Republic didn't help either.

He lost lots of votes to Alain Poher and Duclos took like all Communist votes. Rocard didn't help much either.

What was abstention like in each round?

Second lowest turnout in the first round after 2002 and lowest runoff turnout (68.85) in the runoff.

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Departmental strength of major candidates in the first round of the 1969 Presidential elections



Larger version

     Why did the Communist do so much better than the Socialist?

The SFIO was in an horrible state in 1969, which was just after the FGDS exploded in 1968. In addition, his centrist standing and his opposition to the 5th Republic didn't help either.

He lost lots of votes to Alain Poher and Duclos took like all Communist votes. Rocard didn't help much either.

What was abstention like in each round?

Second lowest turnout in the first round after 2002 and lowest runoff turnout (68.85) in the runoff.

I can understand the second round, but why the first?

Generally poor-to-mediocre candidates, lack of interest, and the election was the second in 1969 (after the referendum).

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So it felt like a legislative election in terms of voter fatigue?

Good way of putting it.

One or two new maps tonight.

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Workers of the World, rejoice!





Analysis to be on my website sooner or later.

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     What was La Corse's turnout in the first turn in 1969 precisely?

61.17%.

60.05% in the runoff.

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     What was La Corse's turnout in the first turn in 1969 precisely?

61.17%.

60.05% in the runoff.

     That's pathetic, considering every other department broke 70%.

Well, yes, it is. But Corse is not subject to normality.

1965 R1: 85.02% (F), 56.42% (C)
1965 R2: 84.53% (F), 61.28% (C)
1969 R1: 78.23% (F), 61.17% (C)
1969 R2: 69.03% (F), 60.05% (C)
1974 R1: 84.90% (F), 72.79% (C)
1974 R2: 87.92% (F), 80.26% (C)
1981 R1: 81.48% (F), 64.89% (C)
1981 R2: 86.23% (F), 73.31% (C)
1988 R1: 82.02% (F), 67.52% (C)
1988 R2: 84.64% (F), 76.48% (C)
1995 R1: 79.48% (F), 66.98% (C)
1995 R2: 80.44% (F), 75.04% (C)
2002 R1: 71.61% (F), 58.62% (C)
2002 R2: 79.71% (F), 67.78% (C)
2007 R1: 83.77% (F), 75.50% (C)
2007 R2: 83.97% (F), 78.58% (C)
Met France results from '65 to '95.

2004Reg1: 62.12% (F), 72.51% (C)
2004Reg2: 65.68% (F), 74.98% (C)

Basically Corse doesn't have an history of voting massively in national elections, mainly because the candidates aren't from Corse, don't care a whole lot about Corse, and because it doesn't concern their little business. They do, however, vote massively, in much higher numbers than Metro France in local elections (many cantons had 80-90ish turnout this year) to elect the local mafia boss mayor. Because locals concern them directly and they know all the candidates and local mayors have a massive GOTV effort for the locals, regionals, and legislative elections. And villages remember than the great-great-grandfather of the man running for deputy stole one of the local inhabitant's donkey in 1802. Or vice versa.

I posted this a while ago on Corse politics:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

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EU maps!



UDF orange, Greenies in... green, PCR in red



CPNT yellow



Rads in orange, MDC in yellow

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European elections are weird.

Understatement.

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Why did Le Pen do so well in Aquitaine (Gironde, Lot-et-Garonne)?

Le Pen seems to do better in Gironde and Lot-et-Garonne than in the other departments of Aquitaine.

It's also stretching it a bit to say he did "so well" in Gironde and Lot-et-Garonne, Gironde-5 was very close (Chirac was only a few % behind). Saint-Josse and CPNT do well there too (14.7% in Gironde-5 in 2002). Gironde-11 was also close.

edit: The FN also had a seat(s) in Bordeaux until this year.

Le Pen always did well along the Garonne valley (Gironde, Lot-et-Garonne, Tarn-et-Garonne, Tarn, but also Haute-Garonne), because of big or middle-size cities (Bordeaux, Agen, Marmande, Montauban, Toulouse, Castres) but also beacause of "rapatriés", "pieds-noirs", Europeans who went back in France when Algeria won its independence in 1962.
This is the electoral legacy if this French exodus....

IIRC, Tixier-Vignancour in 1965 did also well in these "départements". But it must be checked.

The Lot-et-Garonne atleast also has a Poujadist tradition IIRC.

I have a Poujadist map and the Tixier map on my website.

Confirmed: Tixier Vignancour did very well there (in relative terms), up to Charente-Maritime BTW, like Le Pen 20 years later...

And in 1962, the "no" in the referendum on Evian agreements (which made Algeria an independent state) did very well also in the vallet Garonne (apart from the South East, old stronghold of the far right).

Le Pen did well in Charente-Maritime in his first run and the FN did well till about '86 IIRC. Back then the FN vote was much lower in the quartiers populaires and with workers and more of a bourgeois-Royalist protest vote. A look at the evolution of the FN's base in Paris proper is very interesting. Should do a few maps on that.

BTW, any place where I could find departmental results for the Evian referendum?

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Confirmed: Tixier Vignancour did very well there (in relative terms), up to Charente-Maritime BTW, like Le Pen 20 years later...

And in 1962, the "no" in the referendum on Evian agreements (which made Algeria an independent state) did very well also in the vallet Garonne (apart from the South East, old stronghold of the far right).

Le Pen did well in Charente-Maritime in his first run and the FN did well till about '86 IIRC. Back then the FN vote was much lower in the quartiers populaires and with workers and more of a bourgeois-Royalist protest vote. A look at the evolution of the FN's base in Paris proper is very interesting. Should do a few maps on that.

BTW, any place where I could find departmental results for the Evian referendum?

Look at your personal messages on this site: I gave you one book where there is a map on 1962 referendum. But there aren't detailed numbers by department. I'll try to find them.

Le Pen's vote was never a bourgeois-royalist one. Sure, there was a small fringe of upgrade vote and a less small fringe of traditional catholic and military vote. But it wasn't a majority in FN's electorate.

In the beginning, it was more a "petit-bourgeois" and "boutiquier" one: small businesses in towns or small cities. The "Algérie française" vote was still pregnant (Le Pen himself is a mixture of Algérie française and Poujade, but more of the former; Mégret is closer to the real fascist model: European, elitist, technological).

During the 1990s, the blue-collars vote became more important.
But the "petit-bourbeois" vote, afraid of immigrants, has remained strong: see the internal North-East: Haute-Marne, Aube, Marne, Meuse, Jura, Doubs, where immigration is not very high (contrayr to Moselle, Meurthe-et-Moselle, Nord-Pas-de-Calais, Alsace,...) but where, in the end, the FN did better than in his traditional strongholds in the Mediterranean south.

In Paris atleast, there was a good part of the FN vote that came from the posh areas (16th, 17th). See this site. Granted, it wasn't very high as the FN didn't poll very high (something like 3-4% in those areas and below the 1% average in eastern Paris).

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Data courtesy of Filliatre. Thank him, not me.

1962 Presidential election ref



Evian accords ref



More stuff coming.

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Guess which party supported the 'yes' in May 1946.