PPP Wisconsin: Obama 49-47

[Lief 🗽]

Wow. It's worse than I thought. Looks like opebo was right: complete collapse with white voters. If it's this bad in Wisconsin, a relatively racially enlightened state, I'd hate to see the numbers in Ohio or Virginia.

[Lief 🗽]

For what it's worth, looking at the internals of this poll, the entirety of Romney's bump seems to come from an increase in Republican enthusiasm. Nate Silver as well points out that in all the registered voter polls we're seeing, there's not been much movement. These data points, plus Obama's approval ratings holding steady at around 50% in all the polling, seems to indicate that Romney's bounce will be ephemeral, and indeed could disappear pretty quickly.

We'll see in the next few days, but it's important to remember that these PPP polls are incredibly unreliable right now. Robo-polling + polling right after a big news event + weekend polling is a pretty terrible combination.