The FIFA World Cup tipping competition

[minionofmidas]

Lief 71
a person 63
Cris 60
Icehand Gino 57
Franzl 56
Gass 56
Snowstalker 56
Bore 55
Jas 54
Gmantis 51
Keystone Phil 50
morgieb 48
Minion of Midas 45
Tender Branson 45
Edu 44
Hughento 44
Simfan 42
Goodwin 39
Arturo Belano 37
Gully Foyle 37
Rod President 35
New York Express 34
Hamster 16
Bacon King 5

He's running away with this right now.

[minionofmidas]

Belgium - Russia 2-1
South Korea - Algeria 2-0
Portugal - USA 2-0

[minionofmidas]

Lief 77
Cris 68
a person 67
Franzl 65
Icehand Gino 64
Snowstalker 64
Gass 61
bore 59
Jas 58
Gmantis 55
Keystone Phil 53
Tender Branson 52
minion of midas 50
Edu 49
Hughento 49
morgieb 48
Simfan 46
Goodwin 45
Arturo Belano 42
Gully Foyle 41
New York Express 39
Rod President 35
Hamster 16
Bacon King 5

[minionofmidas]

Chile - Netherlands 3-1
Spain - Australia 4-1
Brazil - Cameroon 1-0
Mexico - Croatia 2-1

[minionofmidas]

Lief 77
Cris 71
a person 69
Icehand Gino 69
Snowstalker 68
Franzl 65
Gass 61
Jas 61
bore 59
Gmantis 58
Keystone Phil 58
Hughento 54
Tender Branson 54
Minion of Midas 53
EDIT: morgieb 53
Goodwin 51
Simfan 51
Edu 50
Gully Foyle 44
Arturo Belano 43
New York Express 43
Rod President 35
Hamster 16
Bacon King 5

[minionofmidas]

Italy - Uruguay 2-1
Costa Rica - England 1-1
Colombia - Japan 2-0
Cote d'Ivoire - Greece 2-0

[minionofmidas]

Lief 83
Cris 77
Icehand Gino 75
Snowstalker 72
a person 71
Franzl 68
Gass 67
Jas 65
bore 62
Gmantis 62
Keystone Phil 61
Tender Branson 60
minion of midas 58
Hughento 57
morgieb 57
Edu 56
Goodwin 55
Simfan 53
Gully Foyle 48
New York Express 48
Arturo Belano 45
Rod President 35
Hamster 16
Bacon King 5

[minionofmidas]

Lief 88
Cris 78
Icehand Gino 76
Snowstalker 75
Gass 72
a person 70
Jas 70
Franzl 68
bore 63
Gmantis 62
Keystone Phil 62
Tender Branson 62
Hughento 61
Minion of Midas 61
Edu 60
morgieb 60
Goodwin 57
Simfan 53
Arturo Belano 50
Gully Foyle 50
New York Express 50
Rod President 35
Hamster 16
Bacon King 5

[minionofmidas]

Argentina - Nigeria 2-0
Bosnia - Iran 2-0
Switzerland - Honduras 2-0
Ecuador - France 3-2

[minionofmidas]

New Scores

Lief 94
Cris 85
Icehand Gino 81
a person 80
Gass 80
Snowstalker 80
Jas 75
bore 73
Franzl 71
Gmantis 70
Keystone Phil 69
Minion of Midas 68
Tender Branson 68
Edu 66
Hughento 66
Goodwin 62
morgieb 62
Simfan 59
Gully Foyle 57
New York Express 56
Arturo Belano 54
Rod President 35
Hamster 16
Bacon King 5

[minionofmidas]

Shouldn't I have 64?

Why? 2 points for Colombia's win, 0 for Cote d'Ivoire, 3 for Argentina's win and the margin, 1 for Iran's goal.

[minionofmidas]

USA 1-3 Germany
Ghana 3-2 Portugal
Russia 0-1 Algeria
Belgium 2-1 South Korea

[minionofmidas]

Given recent events, I change my tip (just in time) re Ghana - Portugal.

Portugal vs Ghana 2-0

[minionofmidas]

Sure. It's before kickoff time.

[minionofmidas]

For the knockout stage, these rules require slight modifications:
We'll be predicting the score after 90 minutes, plus who'll advance in case that we predict a draw.
1 point per tendency (win/draw/loss)
1 point for getting the advancing team right
1 point per goal difference (not available in drawn games)
1 point each per team's scores
Still a total of up to 5.

And here comes the part I'm still very much open to suggestions on: The knockout stage provides only 1/4 of the games overall - should it be given higher weight? Say, double points? Double for the sweet 16 and triple after that? Or is that a bad idea?

Shouldn't that be at the end of playing time (regardless whether 90 or 120 minutes)? Games decided in extra time are not usually considered draws.

They are in sports betting, though, at least in this country. Besides, I like the tendency / advancing team split, especially since we're on double points from here on out. The main alternative would have been to ignore penalty shootouts entirely and treat overtime wins and ordinary wins identically, which is what statistics compilers usually do, but is comparatively boring for the competition. (Or else complex rules that pretty much require people to be online at the 90th minute.)

[minionofmidas]

what you all have been waiting for - a new update, and new suspense at the top!

Lief 99
Snowstalker 97
Cris 96
Icehand Gino 96
Gass 94
a person 88
Jas 87
bore 81
Gmantis 81
Minion of Midas 80
Keystone Phil 79
Franzl 77
Hughento 75
Tender Branson 75
Goodwin 72
Edu 70
morgieb 70
Gully Foyle 68
Simfan 67
Arturo Belano 65
New York Express 63
Rod President 35
Hamster 16
Bacon King 8

[minionofmidas]

Brazil - Chile 3-1
Colombia - Uruguay 3-0 (though really, I think that Colombia either wins easily or this goes to overtime. If that makes sense.)

[minionofmidas]

Needless to say, I'm counting these as 1-1, Brazil / Netherlands to advance, so if the details about what goes on after the 90th minute are wrong you don't lose any points.

There was a third recipient of a pm btw, but he has three days' time before the game requiring correction comes up.

[minionofmidas]

The problem with this system is that someone who correctly guessed who would win and the exact score would get just two points, while someone who guessed the incorrect winner but guessed the score after 90 minutes would get six.

This worst case scenario seems to be assuming a game where both teams score during overtime, one of them more often than the other? How many of these have there been in the past 30 years - the two I can think of offhand being in 1982 and 1970 (and pretty famous semifinals involving Germany)? Oh, and 8, not 6.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Both are essentially matters of luck. It could have been done differently as well... that's kinda why I released the rules a week before the tournament started and asked for input. Now it's a bit late.

[minionofmidas]

Lots of people getting four points.

Lief 103
Snowstalker 101
Cris 100
Icehand Gino 100
Gass 98
a person 92
Jas 91
bore 85
Gmantis 85
Minion of Midas 84
Keystone Phil 83
Tender Branson 83
Franzl 81
Hughento 79
Goodwin 74
morgieb 74
Gully Foyle 72
Edu 70
Arturo Belano 69
New York Express 67
Simfan 67
Rod President 35
Hamster 16
Bacon King 8

EDIT: Fixed two genuine errors and a printing error.

[minionofmidas]

No, it is six since only eight points are available for draws and in this example two points would be struck off for not guessing correctly who will advance.

Touché.

Which also means that the previous update is giving Tender and Hugh two points too many. Oops.

[minionofmidas]

Lots of people getting four points.

Lief 103
Snowstalker 101
Cris 100
Icehand Gino 100
Gass 98
a person 92
Jas 91
bore 85
Gmantis 85
Tender Branson 85
Minion of Midas 84
Keystone Phil 83
Franzl 81
Hughento 81
Goodwin 74
morgieb 74
Gully Foyle 72
Edu 70
Arturo Belano 65
New York Express 67
Simfan 67
Rod President 35
Hamster 16
Bacon King 8

Hey, I'm out of last place!

"Arturo Belano 65" is a misprint for "Arturo Belano 69" here. However I did that.
And another really bizarre error!? This time re Edu's points, who was actually on 74.

And now the score is

Lief 113
Icehand Gino 110
Gass 108
Snowstalker 107
Cris 106
Jas 97
bore 95
a person 92
Franzl 91
Gmantis 91
Minion of Midas 90
Hughento 89
Keystone Phil 89
Tender Branson 89
Gully Foyle 82
Edu 80
Goodwin 80
morgieb 80
Arturo Belano 75
New York Express 73
Simfan 67
Rod President 35
Hamster 16
Bacon King 8

[minionofmidas]

Can I change my prediction on Costa Rica - Greece?
If yes.. Costa Rica 2 - Greece 1

Of course. Everybody can change predictions until xx:00:00! All I'm asking is it's done in a new post everytime.

[minionofmidas]

Netherlands - Mexico 1-1, Mexico to advance
Costa Rica - Greece 0-0, Greece to advance

[minionofmidas]

France - Nigeria 3-0