RISK Capital II: Finished!

[minionofmidas]

My list includes a reference to "Nebraska". Please read as "Kansas". (Especially since, depending on the order of play and on who gets an extra state, that may or may not be a preference that actually matters.)

[minionofmidas]

8 in MN, 7 in OH, 4 in MO, 1 anywhere else. Capital in Michigan.

Aside: How did you determine who'd get an extra state? I'm somewhat puzzled at how I ended up with Wyoming... unless maybe the order in which players got their states was a different one each turn...

[minionofmidas]

Aside: How did you determine who'd get an extra state? I'm somewhat puzzled at how I ended up with Wyoming... unless maybe the order in which players got their states was a different one each turn...

The order as it currently appears on the map was not the order that the states were distributed.  I picked a player randomly and just went through the order in which you all posted your lists.  Wyoming was quite low down on your list, but it was the next available state anyway.

Yeah, I figured that out by now. It also was the last state to be distributed, which certainly helps.

[minionofmidas]

8 in Massachusetts
5 in Vermont
5 in Connecticut
1 in Washington
1 in Utah
1 in North Dakota
1 in New Hampshire
3 in Maine

Maine is my capital.

Now, if you'd just put one unit into Rhode Island as well, we'd be all set.

Actually... as long as you remove that unit from one of your other states, and don't move any other units around... then that doesn't affect my orders in the slightest.

[minionofmidas]

This is The Golden Hour of the Little Flower, with Father Coughlin, broadcasting live from Royal Oak, Michigan...
Union Party volunteers in Minnesota should go canvassing in Iowa more. So many of them that they're evenly distributed between the two states afterwards, please (but cease attacking when there're only four units left in MN).
Union Party volunteers in Ohio have leave to go hunting Supersquirrels in Kentucky, and should refer back to me before deciding on how many of them are to settle there permanently.

[minionofmidas]

This is The Golden Hour of the Little Flower, with Father Coughlin, broadcasting live from Royal Oak, Michigan...
Union Party volunteers in Minnesota should go canvassing in Iowa more. So many of them that they're evenly distributed between the two states afterwards, please (but cease attacking when there're only four units left in MN).
Union Party volunteers in Ohio have leave to go hunting Supersquirrels in Kentucky, and should refer back to me before deciding on how many of them are to settle there permanently.

Oh wait, were those your actual orders?!   Gah, I'll make a start on them later.

These were my actual orders (still are), but I somehow managed to forget posting deployments, so here they go:
Three new activists have been recruited in Ohio.

[minionofmidas]

Place four in Kentucky, end turn.

[minionofmidas]

Wow... Ernest is quite the aggressive sort.

Didn't feel like I had a choice to be anything other than aggressive.  Letting Lewis get that massive Midwest bonus is just not a good idea and I didn't see anyone else in a position to want to deny it to him just yet.

I fully understand why you would attack Kentucky, although I hoped you wouldn't. But Ohio... I didn't quite get that.

Now I have no choice but to fight you to our mutual death... not.

[minionofmidas]

Sign up two volunteers in Ohio and one in Missouri.

Ohioans go hunting Kentucky squirrels in ernest - eradicate the pesky little rodents. Place three units in Kentucky afterwards.

More orders after that.

[minionofmidas]

Dammit.
Attack Kentucky from Missouri. If I don't lose a single unit, move three to Kentucky, tactically move one from Iowa to Missouri, and end turn. If I lose one or two units in conquering Kentucky, refer back for further orders.
Quit attacking if I lose three units, and again refer back for further orders.

[minionofmidas]

That leads me to think I'd best stop worrying about Lewis and instead worry about a Western alliance of the blue and the purple.

That would be good, since otherwise I'm dead in the water since you'll simply be getting more units than me. Every round. Forever. otherwise.

[minionofmidas]

#2  We started off in perhaps the least desirable position of any of the players... so I think it is natural to assume we should try to improve our lot for a bit.

MAS started off in an undesirable position, but you started off in the most desirable position possible, with the only capital located in a region that has no bordering region with a capital.  That meant you would likely be able to secure your capital region without serious threat of counterattack. The person with the least desirable starting position was MHS because he is assured eternal war with Colin plus the possibility of being attacked on the flanks by either myself or Lewis.

Now, if I had done my alternate idea of where to place things at the start, all available battalions and my capital in Oregon, then you'd have reason to complain about your starting position.

Perhaps this is just a difference of philosophies, but I would rather be back east where the action is.

I have to take a lot of ground just to get into the fight.  Then I have the task of having to defend that ground from several possible attacks.

The goal of this game is to sieze three capitals, no?  Then how in the Hell does it help me to have to cross half the fing country to get to someone elses capital?

By having more troops than everybody else once capitals are falling? Since it's obviously impossible to conquer three capitals in the first two rounds...

Nice speech btw.

[minionofmidas]

Oh, what the hail. Seems like it's squirrelhunting season in Kentucky again.
Put my new volunteers in Missouri, and canvass Kentucky do or die.

Refer back for more orders.

[minionofmidas]

I surrender.

Attack ND from MN, do or die. If successful, tactically move any additional survivors back into MN, and end turn. If not successful ... eh ... not sure yet.

[minionofmidas]

Anyway, rats... had I know that, I would have played my turn differently. 

And so would I... I wouldn't have dared try to recapture Kentucky.

[minionofmidas]

Some fun stats...

no. of dierolls so far
Ernest 101
MAS 57
Soulty 52
Lewis 49
MHS 38
Colin 33

average result so far
Colin 3.667
MHS 3.579
Soulty 3.538
Lewis 3.510
Ernest 3.455
MAS 3.070

median result so far
Colin, MHS 4
Ernest, Lewis, MAS, Soulty 3

modus (most frequent single result) so far
Colin, Soulty 5
MHS 4
Ernest, Lewis 3
MAS 1

Maybe I should also do rolls taken against players.

[minionofmidas]

Maybe I should also do rolls taken against players.

No. of dierolls so far
Ernest 99
MAS 67
Lewis 57
MHS 44
Colin 35
Soulty 31
(off by 3 - I'm not going through the whole thing again to find the errors)

average result so far
MHS 3.841
Soulty 3.839
Lewis 3.772
Colin 3.543
MAS 3.224
Ernest 3.162

median result so far
Colin, Lewis, MHS, Soulty 4
Ernest, MAS 3

modus (most frequent single result) so far
Lewis, MHS 5
Colin 4
Ernest, MAS 3
Soulty tie between 5 and 2

Individual die rolls
Colin
6es: 3 for - 4 against
5s: 9 - 5
4s: 8 - 10
3s: 4 - 7
2s: 5 - 5
1s: 4 - 4

Ernest:
6es: 15 - 10
5s: 17 - 16
4s: 16 - 13
3s: 21 - 21
2s: 15 - 19
1s: 17 - 20

Lewis
6es: 5 - 11
5s: 10 - 12
4s: 8 - 9
3s: 12 - 9
2s: 10 - 9
1s: 4 - 8

MAS
6es: 7 - 6
5s: 5 - 9
4s: 10 - 13
3s: 11 - 18
2s: 11 - 9
1s: 13 - 13

8MHS
6es: 4 - 5
5s: 8 - 14
4s: 12 - 9
3s: 6 - 7
2s: 3 - 3
1s: 6 - 6

Soulty
6es: 7 - 5
5s: 13 - 7
4s: 5 - 6
3s: 11 - 5
2s: 8 - 7
1s: 8 - 1

overall
38 (41) 6es
62 (63) 5s
59 (60) 4s
65 (67) 3s
52 (52) 2s
52 (52) 1s

First figures is addition of for, second of against rolls... now why did the difference grow from 3 to 7?

[minionofmidas]

Notice the vast difference between rolls taken by Soulty and rolls taken against him (note that I'm conflating offense and defense rolls) - the result of his extremely favorable starting position on the board.

[minionofmidas]

My turn, right? Three reinforcements, right?

Place in Minnesota.
Retake Iowa, do or die.

[minionofmidas]

Is there some sort of nicety restriction that is keeping you guys from trying to wipe out MHS?

Yes. -_-

No really, I don't know about Colin, but I know Joe's dice well enough to know that I would almost certainly fail.

Although... come to think of it... Joe, if you're reading this... don't do anything yet, I need to think something over.

[minionofmidas]

So I see it's a matter of which one is going to take me out and get my 3 Risk cards.

Eh, whatever. I'll take that as kind permission.

Place my reinforcements in Indiana, and attack Ohio do or die.

[minionofmidas]

Well, so much for that.

Darn.

Oh well, attack Iowa from Minnesota. Independently of result, end turn afterwards. No tactical moves.

[minionofmidas]

How is it that I seem to be the only one who doesn't think I have this thing in the bag?  I see tons of way I could still lose at this point.

What the Hell is everyone's problem anyway?

We don't like MAS' attitude, that's all. Relax. It's hard to see how you could still lose, but not impossible. It ain't over til it's over, as Rocky Balboa said.

[minionofmidas]

I don't understand why MAS wants to be Soulty's puppet. It makes no sense.

Lets get something straight here. I am no ones puppet. When we started this, Soulty was by far not in the best position in the game. Thats a fact. Neither was I, also a fact. So, we formed a quick non-aggression pact, so we both would not attack each other. And now because of other events in the game, which have nothing to do with me and Soulty's pact, he has become a power player here.

If it was me in the better position now, youd be saying why does Soulty want to be MAS' puppet here. Its the way it turned out. I had a few bad rolls, but my forces will keep marching on.

I don't get where the idea comes from that Soulty had a poor position. He never did. Neither did you really. Supersouolty almost had an entire region to himself from the start, which is an excellent position. And you let Supersoulty have 2 regions to himself. AND you should have left the pact once it became clear that it was getting you nowhere.

come on. You just have to move the first "not" forward by two letters and add "partly" before the first "and", and you've got yourself a reasonable statement.

[minionofmidas]

Also, by the time the non-aggression pact became clear for everyone to see, only a stone dumb retard would have viewed me as a major threat - it was after my second turn, after I'd spent pretty much my entire supply of armies in regaining Kentucky, then lost it again in about two die rolls.

However, the deal may have been *made* much earlier, when this wasn't as apparent yet. (Although, realistically, that would have to be before Ernest first announced his very first attack.)