SC-01, NC-10, IN-09, MO-09, NJ-05, SC-02 - R2k/SUSA (good for GOP)

[minionofmidas]

Good for GOP? They're either doing about as good as I would have expected, or worse, in these polls.

[minionofmidas]

Good for GOP? They're either doing about as good as I would have expected, or worse, in these polls.

Well, the pollster has a Democratic bias (R2K for all but one)

Okay.

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...4 out of 6 actually. As they should be expected to. All of these (4) are what, at primary filing time, seemed to be joke opponents in utterly safe seats.

[minionofmidas]

NJ - 05:
http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/10/24/134416/70/712/641025
Garrett (R) 47%, Shulman (D) 40%

NC-10:
http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/10/25/132949/13/752/641986
McHenry (R) 52%, Johnson (D) 37%

SC-01
http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/10/25/14186/494/711/642035
Brown (R) 48%, Ketner (D) 37%

SC-02
http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/10/25/16215/493/638/642124
Wilson (R) 47%, Miller (D) 35%

That's four to me. Possibly three actually, if that MoE is to be applied to every candidate singly (not sure right now).

[minionofmidas]

I don't think anyone ever thought that NJ-5 wouldn't be pretty close, it always is.  NJ-5 is like PA-6 but with 10 points.  It always seems like Garrett may be in a tough fight, but he always wins by around 10.

Partisan heaven. Easy for Dems to get to 45, very hard to get beyond.