2009 State and Federal elections in Germany (user search)
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Author Topic: 2009 State and Federal elections in Germany  (Read 221017 times)
minionofmidas
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« Reply #75 on: January 19, 2009, 09:18:13 AM »

I note that the Left polled under 5.00000% in 26 constituencies and had losses in 13.

under 5: Waldeck-Frankenberg, Fulda, Lahn-Dill, Gießen II, Limburg-Weilburg, Hochtaunus, Wetterau, Rheingau-Taunus, Wiesbaden II, Main-Taunus, Offenbach Land, Darmstadt-Dieburg, Bergstraße (except where noted: all. By district/city the party polled over 5% in both Gießen and Wiesbaden. A portion of Darmstadt-Dieburg district is in Darmstadt city II constituency, of course, and the Left actually polled over 5% in that portion, but the district's under 5. Rotenburg constituency is the only other trans-district one, and here too there are complications: Not only is the Hersfeld-Rotenburg portion of the constituency under 5%, the whole of Hersfeld-Rotenburg district is.)

losses: Kassel rural, Kassel city, Waldeck-Frankenberg, Schwalm-Eder, Eschwege-Witzenhausen, Rotenburg, Fulda II, Lahn-Dill II (by district: losses in both Fulda and Lahn-Dill. A gain in Hersfeld-Rotenburg - didn't check how the Rotenburg portion of that behaved. A loss in Werra-Meißner.)
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #76 on: January 19, 2009, 10:05:18 AM »

Some results from other Hessian cities...

Darmstadt. Map.
(West, Bessungen and Eberstadt are in the II constituency, btw. In case you want to get the exact boundary into your state map template. Smiley )

City             t 62.9 C 28.7 G 24.8 S 21.1 F 15.1 L 7.2
Centre         t 59.2 C 26.0 G 25.0 S 23.3 F 14.1 L 8.4
North           t 61.4 G 31.4 S 23.3 C 19.3 F 11.7 L 10.5
East             t 67.5 C 30.8 G 25.2 F 18.3 S 17.6 L 5.7
Bessungen  t 71.1 G 28.5 C 27.4 S 18.8 F 16.2 L 6.7
West           t 58.7 C 30.3 S 23.3 G 20.2 F 14.9 L 7.3
Eberstadt    t 65.2 C 34.5 G 21.2 S 18.6 F 17.4 L 5.7
Arheilgen     t 63.6 C 31.9 S 22.1 G 21.8 F 15.5 L 5.8
Kranichstein t 54.9 C 33.2 G 24.2 S 20.2 F 12.9 L 7.2
Wixhausen   t 63.2 C 33.2 S 24.0 G 20.1 F 14.6 L 5.2

Color me shocked at the Kranichstein Green result, btw. Not a neighborhood I had down as a Green stronghold area (wholly 60s/70s built.)

Wiesbaden. Map in this thread.

Results.

This doesn't express turnout as a percentage so I'm adding that. Mitte 51.8, Northeast 67.9, Southeast 62.4, Rheingauviertel 52.2, Klarenthal 48.7, West End 51.5, Sonnenberg 71.9, Bierstadt 64.8, Erbenheim 53.4, Biebrich 55.3, Dotzheim 53.1, Rambach 65.1, Heßloch 78.5(!), Kloppenheim 68.0, Igstadt 66.5, Nordenstadt 64.9, Delkenheim 60.1, Schierstein 56.9, Frauenstein 69.3, Naurod 73.2, Auringen 70.3, Medenbach 60.9, Breckenheim 68.1, Amöneburg 45.5, Kastel 48.9, Kostheim 48.0

Can't find Kassel by neighborhood. Can't find Kassel 2008, either. (I can find the 2005 federals... but I had those before.)

Hanau. Map.
City                                     t 54.3 C 38.6 S 20.3 F 16.6 G 13.6 L 6.2
Groß Auheim incl Wolfgang t 57.6 C 38.0 S 21.1 G 15.4 F 14.2 L 6.4
Klein Auheim                       t 59.0 C 43.0 S 19.2 F 15.8 G 13.2 L 4.1
Steinheim                            t 61.1 C 40.5 F 18.2 S 17.9 G 13.7 L 4.6
Mittelbuchen                       t 65.5 C 40.5 S 21.3 F 18.0 G 13.3 L 3.7
Centre                                t 45.7 C 36.0 S 21.7 F 15.7 G 14.0 L 7.5
South East                          t 45.9 C 36.0 S 22.0 F 16.9 G 12.1 L 8.2
Kesselstadt                         t 53.9 C 38.6 S 19.2 F 16.9 G 14.0 L 7.1
North West                          t 57.3 C 38.1 F 19.7 S 19.3 G 13.0 L 6.6
Lamboy                                t 40.7 C 34.2 S 26.0 F 12.3 G 10.7 L 9.4

Oh Hanau, Hanau... the sins committed unto you during the great Verwaltungsreform shall be visited on the offenders' descendants unto the 719th generation.

Offenbach: Watch this space for local breakdown; this is mathwork.
City: t 53,6% CDU 33,9% SPD 21,2% FDP 14,2% Greens 18,4% Left 7,5%
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #77 on: January 19, 2009, 11:38:38 AM »
« Edited: January 20, 2009, 10:09:18 AM by ican'tbelievei'mnotverin »

First attempt for Offenbach... statistische Bezirke, pretending that postal voters didn't vote. (Unless they changed them, I have the borders of the postal precincts actually. Will do complete results by them later. Problem is that their boundaries are wholly illogical as they just went down the list of precincts until they had enough people, then called that a postal voting precinct.)

City t 53,6 C 33.9 S 21.2 G 18.4 F 14.2 L 7.5
postal vote C 41.5 S 18.2 G 15.8 F 14.8 L 6.9
ex t 45.9 C 32.6 S 21.7 G 18.9 F 14.1 L 7.6 ...cluding postal vote
11 t 34.6 S 26.1 G 23.5 C 22.8 F 12.5 L 10.5
12 t 38.0 S 25.4 C 24.9 G 23.2 L 12.1 F 9.5
13 t 37.3 S 25.9 G 24.6 C 22.8 L 11.1 F 10.5
14 t 40.5 S 27.9 C 21.6 G 20.3 F 13.8 L 13.1
15 t 44.3 C 27.1 G 23.6 S 18.8 F 16.9 L 9.2
16 t 38.6 C 25.4 S 24.9 G 21.6 F 11.4 L 10.5
21 t 41.0 G 26.1 C 24.5 S 23.7 F 12.4 L 8.4
22 t 42.8 C 34.0 S 23.4 G 15.5 F 14.5 L 7.7
23 t 44.8 C 27.6 G 24.0 S 22.7 F 11.0 L 9.4
24 t 43.6 C 32.9 S 23.8 G 18.7 F 9.3 L 8.3
25 t 42.9 C 33.2 S 23.0 G 17.8 F 13.4 L 7.8
26 t 50.5 C 27.1 S 21.3 G 20.6 F 17.9 L 7.8
31 t 47.8 C 34.7 G 18.3 S 16.5 F 13.6 L 5.7
32 t 48.2 C 32.8 S 25.3 G 17.8 F 11.6 L 6.9
33 t 52.4 C 41.1 S 19.1 F 15.7 G 13.7 L 5.2
41 t 34.4 C 34.7 S 26.8 L 11.0 G 10.1 F 9.1
42 t 61.6 C 31.8 F 20.6 G 19.7 S 17.0 L 6.1
43 t 51.9 C 37.2 S 18.6 G 16.1 F 15.7 L 6.4
44 t 57.9 C 34.5 G 21.9 S 17.3 F 16.6 L 4.7

A lengthy note on Offenbach's local administration:
Unlike FF's Kassel and Wiesbaden, where statistical (and, largely, colloquial) neighborhoods = Borough Councils (for want of a better word. Ortsbeiräte.) and semi-FF Frankfurt where most Borough Councils are made up of a small group of neighborhoods but everywhere in the city has one; in most municipalities within districts only the non-"core" areas get one, f.ex. in HC Hanau there's one each for Steinheim, Klein-Auheim, Mittelbuchen, and Groß-Auheim with Wolfgang together, but none for the core (including Kesselstadt, incorporated a century ago).
Arch-HC Darmstadt only has one for the area added in the 70s - ie Wixhausen. Arch-HC Offenbach (which had no territory added in the 70s) hasn't got any, hence why these are purely statistical entities (and maybe why there's less of an interest in providing exact results for them).

The numbering scheme seems to imply an old 4-way division (that first digit) but I've never found any evidence that that division was actually ever recognised. That division would be, though "1 City Proper north of the railway line", "2 same, south of...", "3 Bieber and estates by the forest edge", "4 northeastern suburbs".

11-25, 31 and 32 is the ancient municipal territory of Offenbach. 43, 26(!) and most of 41 is the historical territory of Bürgel but has been part of the city for a hundred years. 33 is the historical territory of Bieber, added in 1936. 42, 44 and a bit of 41 is the historic territory of Rumpenheim, added in 1942.

Only a few of these statistical names - Kaiserlei, Lauterborn, Bieberer Berg, and 31ff (perhaps exc Mühlheimer Straße... most of that's industrial and commercial anyways) - are widely recognized names (though you might have to point out to people that Bieber includes Waldhof and Rumpenheim includes Biebernsee - not that they'd think it doesn't, they'd just not be sure). The others are mostly named for schools, landmarks etc, and don't even ask me what "Lichtenplatte" is named for. A couple of them correlate well with actually well-recognized parts of town though: 11 is basically the Old Town, 13 is the North End, 15 is the West End, and 16 is sometimes known as the East End though that's a somewhat less well-established term. Elsewhere, neighborhood names really don't exist in Offenbach.


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minionofmidas
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« Reply #78 on: January 19, 2009, 11:39:08 AM »

Now do the others. Cheesy
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #79 on: January 19, 2009, 02:27:24 PM »

Offenbach by postal precincts (and including postal votes) (percentages based on reg.d voters)

01 t 42.8 S 24.2 C 24.1 G 22.6 L 11.1 F 10.7 (11, 12, 74% of 13)
02 t 53.8 C 28.2 G 22.1 S 20.6 F 16.1 L 9.8 (14, 81% of 15, 26% of 13)
03 t 47.1 C 28.1 S 23.1 G 23.0 F 12.7 L 9.7 (16, 21, 19% of 15)
04 t 52.4 C 35.4 S 22.4 G 15.5 F 15.1 L 7.5 (89% of 22)
05 t 49.2 C 30.4 S 23.8 G 20.7 F 10.8 L 8.7 (23, 25% of 24, 11% of 22)
06 t 49.9 C 32.7 S 23.6 G 18.6 F 11.3 L 8.8 (75% of 24, 59% of 25)
07 t 57.0 C 34.8 S 21.1 G 17.7 F 15.4 L 6.3 (26, 31, 41% of 25)
08 t 58.4 C 39.2 S 20.9 G 15.2 F 13.8 L 5.3 (32, 41% of 33)
09 t 60.2 C 41.2 S 18.4 F 16.2 G 14.0 L 5.7 (41, 42, 59% of 33, 19% of 43)
10 t 60.5 C 36.5 G 18.4 S 18.0 F 15.6 L 5.8 (44, 81% of 43)
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #80 on: January 19, 2009, 03:56:02 PM »

As we were speaking of the Engelsplatz (God, I got to see if I can find something online about it.)

the precinct it's in has got a weird result - second best Left result in the city, but only CDU-won precinct in the Riederwald (and yes, that includes the postal precinct)...

CDU 28.2 SPD 19.5 Left 18.7 Greens 17.6 FDP 11.5

The Left's best result is a surprise too. Although it seems created largely by a comedy turnout - in an already undersized and very homogeneous precinct: the tower block bit of the Frankfurter Berg.

SPD 27.3 CDU 26.7 Left 19.4 Greens 12.7 FDP 10.9
And no, the place doesn't really have a tradition of voting that far to the left of the city.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #81 on: January 19, 2009, 04:47:08 PM »

Somebody explain Darmstadt-Nord to me. Very high Greenie result, but also the best Linke result, a weak FDP/CDU.
Like Bornheim except with a locally-created weaker SPD?
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #82 on: January 20, 2009, 06:52:53 AM »

Turnout and CDU maps and the ancient (pre annexation of Kesselstadt) city of Hanau depressingly correlated...
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #83 on: January 20, 2009, 07:17:03 AM »

Turnout and CDU maps and the ancient (pre annexation of Kesselstadt) city of Hanau depressingly correlated...

Yeah, I noticed that certain patterns did look a little stark...
"Stark". That's a good word for what Hanau is like.

infratest dimap estimates of voter migrations (net).

SPD --> non-voting 203k
SPD --> Greens 121k
CDU --> FDP 88k
SPD --> CDU 35k
SPD --> FDP 29k
non-voting --> FDP 22k
Left --> non-voting 20k
other --> Greens 9k
non-voting --> other 8k
other --> FDP 7k
SPD --> Left 5k
CDU to Greens, Left, others, non-voting; SPD to Left, others, FDP to Left, Greens; Greens to Left, non-voters: negligible quantities (under 5k. Way within MoE.)

FR has another analysis by a less-known institute up that has somewhat more people going over from the SPD to the Right. (I know which one I prefer to believe, then Cheesy but I'm posting this one as well for sake of balance)

SPD --> non-voting 155k
SPD --> Greens 119k
CDU --> FDP 77k
SPD --> FDP 50k
SPD --> CDU 49k
non-voting --> FDP 25k
SPD --> Left 17k
SPD --> other 14k
CDU --> Green 14k
Left --> non-voting 11k
CDU --> non-voting 7k
other --> non-voting 7k
Left --> Greens 6k
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #84 on: January 20, 2009, 07:40:52 AM »

Basically - and this is being partisan - the incorporated suburbs went into White Backlash denial, decided to feel persecuted and are using their political majority - not of population but of votes cast, thanks to starkly different citizenship as well as turnout rates* - to let Lamboy and the downtown rot. (And as usual, the buck continues to be passed further down; people from Tümpelgarten# insisting that they're NOT from Lamboy, and being slightly more German and probably voting slightly more than people from Lamboy proper... and of course insisting that urban regeneration money go to Tümpelgarten rather than Lamboy proper)

Yet Lamboy could be beautiful. Here's a great webpage I found that tries to make it look as if it already is (click on the dots).

*noncitizen percentage 2007:
SE 36, Innenstadt, Lamboy 30, Groß-Auheim 19 (apparently they included Wolfgang again. Some tables they do, some they don't... weird), Kesselstadt 18, NW 13, Steinheim 12, Klein-Auheim 10, Mittelbuchen 6

#including a friend of mine. While a very good friend of mine comes from the Port slum (in the South East). Tümpelgarten's most famous son is, of course, Rudi Völler.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #85 on: January 20, 2009, 08:09:29 AM »

A note on postal voting, at least in Frankfurt: Total numbers down. Right-wing bias up. Confirms what I already know - lots and lots of people on the left knew they'd vote again, but not who for until the last moment. Of course, some who "knew" that eventually didn't vote, as usual, but nvm that - there were far fewer of those than there might have been. In other words, Roland Koch probably kept the turnout semi-decent by sheer force of unpopularity.

Postal votes, Gallus:
CDU 214, FDP 106, Greens 105, SPD 100, Left 84, other 27. Cough.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #86 on: January 20, 2009, 08:42:13 AM »
« Edited: January 20, 2009, 08:52:51 AM by ican'tbelievei'mnotverin »

I like how Rambach sticks out - an aunt-by-marriage grew up there. Cheesy (But her grown children, from a first marriage, and her adorable little grandson all live in Nordenstadt. I did mention these children on the forum once before - you'd never guess they're quarter-chinese through their father.)

FDP in Northeast though can't be right; what did you do there?

EDIT: Erbenheim, not Nordenstadt. Always get the two confused.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #87 on: January 20, 2009, 08:43:37 AM »

I'm thinking of emailing them, actually.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #88 on: January 20, 2009, 12:32:06 PM »

Frankfurt, day vote vs absentee vote

Day
CDU 31.2 (-1.0)
SPD 20.6 (-13.9)
Greens 20.2 (+8.6)
FDP 16.6 (+5.9)
Left 8.1 (+0.9)
other 3.3 (-0.7)

Absentee
CDU 41.5 (+2.6)
FDP 17.7 (+5.4)
Greens 16.6 (+5.9)
SPD 15.0 (-12.9)
Left 6.4 (+0.1)
other 2.8 (-1.1)

Total share of votes cast absentee down only ever-so-marginally... then again, it's down for the second time running, so maybe it's a new trend. Cheesy
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #89 on: January 21, 2009, 04:45:55 AM »

Wow, must have been quite a bit of work cleaning that map up.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #90 on: January 21, 2009, 05:56:26 AM »

Frankfurt by postal precincts (where different from Stadtteile)

what it is                                                        t.o. CDU - SPD - FDP - Greens - Left

Gallus 1 (152, 153, 154, 161, 164)      43.0   24.6 - 25.7 - 15.3 - 18.1 - 12.1
Gallus 2 (162, 165)         46.6   27.8 - 23.5 - 11.6 - 18.7 - 14.2
Westend-Süd 1 (100, 110)         66.6   38.6 - 10.9 - 26.7 - 16.8 - 5.0
Westend-Süd 2 (170)         69.6   34.5 - 12.7 - 28.1 - 18.4 - 5.0   
Westend-Süd 3 (180)         71.1    34.9 - 12.3 - 28.5 - 17.9 - 4.9
Bockenheim 1 (163, 341, 342)         57.8   27.8 - 20.3 - 18.4 - 21.1 - 9.9
Bockenheim 2 (361)         68.4   17.9 - 19.8 - 14.9 - 32.9 - 12.3
Bockenheim 3 (362)         69.4   30.3 - 16.6 - 20.4 - 22.2 - 7.7
Bockenheim 4 (350)         57.9   20.9 - 24.7 - 13.9 - 25.4 - 12.3
Nordend-West 1 (120)         68.0   26.8 - 17.4 - 18.9 - 28.0 - 7.2
Nordend-West 2 (201)         71.4   30.4 - 12.3 - 20.9 - 28.1 - 7.2
Nordend-West 3 (202, 203 01, 02)      68.5   34.6 - 16.0 - 20.9 - 21.8 - 5.2
Nordend-West 4 (203 03, 04)      70.6   36.0 - 14.5 - 26.4 - 18.5 - 3.6
Nordend-West 5 (211)         68.6   22.3 - 18.7 - 15.5 - 32.3 - 9.0
Nordend-West 6 (212)         63.9   21.2 - 18.3 - 14.7 - 34.9 - 8.7
Nordend-Ost 1 (130)         66.8   23.9 - 17.7 - 16.0 - 31.2 - 9.4
Nordend-Ost 2 (221)         70.5   20.0 - 18.5 - 15.2 - 34.5 - 10.0
Nordend-Ost 3 (222)         65.8   21.7 - 19.7 - 12.7 - 31.3 - 11.6
Nordend-Ost 4 (230)         64.0   21.4 - 18.0 - 15.2 - 33.0 - 10.8
Nordend-Ost 5 (240)         64.1   19.8 - 20.8 - 12.7 - 32.9 - 11.0
Ostend 1 (140, 261)         53.3   27.6 - 20.9 - 18.6 - 22.3 - 8.1
Ostend 2 (251)            57.6   25.5 - 22.8 - 14.5 - 25.2 - 9.2
Ostend 3 (252 01-05)         62.4   25.6 - 19.7 - 15.1 - 29.1 - 8.2
Ostend 4 (252 06, 07)         80.2   34.9 - 16.6 - 16.4 - 22.6 - 6.7
Bornheim 1 (271, 290)         61.9   23.9 - 21.7 - 14.3 - 27.6 - 9.5
Bornheim 2 (272)         57.4    24.8 - 22.8 - 12.5 - 26.7 - 10.3
Bornheim 3 (281)         60.1   31.6 - 24.4 - 12.1 - 19.8 - 8.8
Bornheim 4 (282)         60.7   22.9 - 18.1 - 13.7 - 31.9 - 10.4
Sachsenhausen-Nord 1 (300, 331)      58.8   25.7 - 18.0 - 20.9 - 25.1 - 7.8
Sachsenhausen-Nord 2 (321)      69.9   27.6 - 15.3 - 22.2 - 27.2 - 5.9
Sachsenhausen-Nord 3 (322 01-03)   53.6   35.1 - 24.5 - 12.4 - 14.7 - 9.9
Sachsenhausen-Nord 4 (322 04-06)   72.7   35.6 - 12.6 - 25.6 - 21.4 - 3.6
Sachsenhausen-Nord 5 (324)      68.0   29.0 - 17.4 - 20.1 - 25.4 - 6.1
Sachsenhausen-Süd 1 (323 01-04)      54.8   34.6 - 15.0 - 20.8 - 22.6 - 5.1
Sachsenhausen-Süd 2 (323 05-08)      64.6   41.2 - 11.2 - 24.7 - 17.1 - 4.2
Sachsenhausen-Süd 3 (325, 326)      55.8   35.0 - 21.7 - 15.8 - 15.8 - 7.9
Sachsenhausen-Süd 4 (332 01-04)      72.6   39.2 - 13.7 - 21.2 - 19.5 - 4.3
Sachsenhausen-Süd 5 (332 05-07)      64.4   37.7 - 17.2 - 17.0 - 19.0 - 6.6
Niederrad 1 (371)         53.1   35.1 - 20.9 - 15.6 - 15.9 - 8.0
Niederrad 2 (372 01-04)         59.3   35.7 - 19.5 - 17.7 - 15.2 - 8.7
Niederrad 3 (372 05, 06, 533)      56.9   30.9 - 22.0 - 15.9 - 21.8 - 6.0
Oberrad 1 (380 01-04, 08)         60.7   35.8 - 19.5 - 15.6 - 18.5 - 7.2
Oberrad 2 (380 05-07)         56.0   36.2 - 20.4 - 13.5 - 16.8 - 9.2   
Schwanheim 1 (531)         60.7   39.1 - 18.4 - 16.7 - 14.3 - 6.8
Schwanheim 2 (532)         52.7   37.7 - 24.3 - 14.0 - 16.4 - 5.5
Griesheim 1 (541, 542)         41.2   35.5 - 24.4 - 14.6 - 12.1 - 7.8
Griesheim 2 (551, 552)         50.2   36.3 - 23.0 - 14.7 - 12.6 - 8.1
Nied 1 (561)            49.2   39.1 - 23.2 - 13.9 - 12.0 - 8.0
Nied 2 (562)            56.9   36.8 - 23.2 - 14.5 - 13.5 - 7.8
Unterliederbach 1 (621 01-04)      66.2   42.7 - 16.5 - 18.5 - 14.9 - 4.0
Unterliederbach 2 (621 05, 06, 622)   48.4   38.9 - 22.3 - 12.7 - 14.3 - 7.3
Sossenheim 1 (631)         51.7   44.9 - 18.3 - 15.3 - 11.4 - 6.4
Sossenheim 2 (632)         47.4   43.2 - 21.1 - 13.5 - 10.7 - 8.3
Rödelheim 1 (401)         57.1   29.7 - 20.0 - 13.4 - 20.3 - 12.5         
Rödelheim 2 (402)         60.1   33.5 - 19.3 - 15.5 - 18.5 - 9.5
Hausen (343, 410)         57.8   32.7 - 24.8 - 13.8 - 18.0 - 9.7
Praunheim 1 (422, 423)         56.4   32.0 - 22.8 - 14.4 - 17.3 - 9.1
Praunheim 2 (424, 425)         67.1   35.7 - 19.0 - 14.8 - 19.4 - 7.4
Praunheim 3 (426)         58.5   38.2 - 21.4 - 14.4 - 15.2 - 7.0
Heddernheim 1 (431)         63.4   30.7 - 20.3 - 16.4 - 22.5 - 7.0
Heddernheim 2 (432)         55.1   34.0 - 23.7 - 13.1 - 14.7 - 9.3
Niederursel 1 (481, 483)         59.5   32.6 - 20.9 - 16.5 - 19.5 - 6.4
Niederursel 2 (482)         52.8   38.6 - 24.6 - 12.3 - 12.1 - 8.6
Ginnheim 1 (441 01-05)         62.8   33.7 - 21.3 - 14.6 - 18.4 - 9.0
Ginnheim 2 (441 06-10)         56.4   28.6 - 21.8 - 16.7 - 19.6 - 9.7
Dornbusch 1 (442)         70.2   36.4 - 16.7 - 21.4 - 17.7 - 6.0
Dornbusch 2 (462 01-03, 463)      69.2   31.7 - 18.5 - 19.3 - 21.7 - 6.8
Dornbusch 3 (462 04-06)         60.4   33.2 - 21.5 - 15.5 - 19.1 - 7.8
Eschersheim 1 (451, 452 01)      63.8   34.9 - 19.6 - 16.9 - 19.1 - 6.7
Eschersheim 2 (452 02-06)      66.3   33.9 - 18.7 - 18.5 - 20.1 - 6.8
Eckenheim 1 (461 01-06)         53.5   30.3 - 22.7 - 14.3 - 19.5 - 9.2
Eckenheim 2 (461 07-11)         51.7   31.2 - 22.5 - 14.6 - 16.1 - 11.1
Preungesheim (470)         58.9   31.1 - 21.1 - 16.5 - 19.7 - 7.6
Berkersheim (500)         64.6   39.1 - 18.5 - 18.6 - 14.4 - 5.8
Seckbach 1 (390 01-03)         62.8   37.6 - 20.1 - 16.2 - 17.6 - 6.0   
Seckbach 2 (390 04-08)         61.5   36.3 - 21.6 - 16.1 - 17.0 - 6.5
Fechenheim 1 (510)         48.0   34.3 - 27.6 - 11.8 - 13.3 - 9.6
Fechenheim 2 (520)         50.2   33.9 - 21.9 - 14.0 - 15.9 - 8.7
Bergen-Enkheim 1 (680 01-04, 13)      68.6   37.9 - 17.0 - 19.1 - 17.9 - 4.6
Bergen-Enkheim 2 (680 05-08)      67.6   38.2 - 16.8 - 20.3 - 16.0 - 4.9
Bergen-Enkheim 3 (680 09-12)      66.1   32.8 - 23.9 - 15.3 - 17.1 - 6.8


Note 1 - yes, Hausen postal voting precinct includes the Industriehof, yes Hausen Stadtteil results as usually released include postal (but not day) votes from the Industriehof, and yes this is a large part of the reason why Hausen turnout appears relatively high compared to SPD strength.
Note 2 - Berkersheim and Preungesheim used to be a joint postal precinct until recently, hence why they're lumped together in that file I sent Al a while ago. Only since 2006 or so has it been possible to present their results separately (ie has there been a separate Berkersheim postal precinct), and the city still continues to routinely lump them together in their results presentayshe anyways so I don't see why I can't too.
Note 3 - If pressed I *will* try to explain where the divisions are for the split Stadtbezirke.
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« Reply #91 on: January 21, 2009, 09:51:18 AM »

Could find no map with borders, this'll do for reference though...

Marburg. Since Franzl referred to its insane leftism.

City result, turnout 64.0, SPD 29.9, CDU 24.1, Greens 22.7, FDP 12.3, Left 9.1

of which postal for which I can't do a breakdown
CDU 31.7, SPD 25.0, Greens 20.3, FDP 13.5, Left 8.1

leaving a remainder of
turnout 54.8, SPD 30.8, Greens 23.1, CDU 22.8, FDP 12.1, Left 9.3

but Marburg incorporated no fewer than 18 municipalities in the 70s (and another in 1931, but I'm not including that here.) Most - all but Wehrda and Cappel - are tiny (Calbe at the northern end of the map is not part of the city), but their sum total result is (excluding postal)

turnout 57.5, SPD 30.1, CDU 28.6, Greens 18.7, FDP 13.9, Left 6.6 (subtract Cappel and you got yourself a CDU lead)

leaving a pre-69 city result (without postals) of
turnout 53.1, SPD 31.2, Greens 26.1, CDU 18.8, Left 11.2, FDP 10.8
and that still includes some *quite* posh areas on the north side of the Hill and on the other side of the Lahn (this is where full, tenured professors live, I guess Grin ). Not that that's all there is beyond student slum, o/c.

The precinct organization implies a three-tier organization (that doesn't actually exist) of,

first digit: pre-69 city vs outer (2 and 3 are the numbers used, ie the lowest precinct number is 211-1), second digit an apparently unnamed broad division - within the city that's 21 Old Town and south and just east, 22 to the southwest (mostly that 1931 addition, Ockershausen), 23 northward, 24 across the Lahn (while in the later additions, it's 31 Wehrda, 32 six villages to the west and northwest, 33 three villages to the far southwest, 34 four villages to the east, 35 Cappel and three tiny villages south of that - third digit a named neighborhood (within the city) or the former municipality (outside) and then, fourth digit, precinct within that (with 13 of the outer villages, and two or three urban hoods too, there's only one.)

The combined result for the 22, 23, 24 areas is:
turnout 49.4, SPD 32.1, Greens 23.1, CDU 21.1, FDP 11.2, Left 10.5
While for the 21 area it's
turnout 60.2, Greens 30.9, SPD 29.8, CDU 15.1, Left 12.3, FDP 10.2
Most of that is the Südviertel (214), it also includes the Kliniksviertel (213, east of the Old Town) and Weidenhausen (212, between that big road and the river, ie on the east bank. Originally an island though, and voting exactly like the Old Town - it's only one precinct. I included it here though). Together their result is
turnout 60.3, Greens 30.4, SPD 29.4, CDU 16.1, Left 11.9, FDP 10.5
While the Old Town's result itself is... drum roll...
turnout 59.9, Greens 32.3, SPD 30.8, Left 13.2, CDU 12.3, FDP 9.2
I'm just disappointed that not one of its four precincts had a Green-Left majority of votes cast. Sad but at least the CDU got below 10% in one of them! Cheesy
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« Reply #92 on: January 21, 2009, 11:21:02 AM »

Posh Frankfurt suburb of Bad Vilbel, posted only because I readily found the numbers and have spent more of the last year there then I'd care to let on...



result: turnout 69.7 (-2.0), CDU 40.0 (-1.5), FDP 19.6 (+6.8), SPD 17.4 (-11.9), Greens 16.1 (+7.0), Left 4.1 (0)
postal: CDU 45.9 (-0.3), FDP 20.9 (+7.8), SPD 15.5 (-9.8), Greens 12.8 (+4.4), Left 2.9 (-1.2)
areas within the town. Figures are without postal votes.
Core town: turnout 58.5 (-1.4), CDU 39.9 (-1.3), FDP 19.5 (+6.8), SPD 17.8 (-12.3), Greens 15.7 (+7.7), Left 4.4 (-0.3)
This is about 45% of the town.
Heilsberg: turnout 59.2 (-2.8), CDU 38.6 (-1.6), SPD 18.4 (-12.2), Greens 17.9 (+8.3), FDP 17.3 (+5.2), Left 5.1 (+0.6)
To the south, hugging the Frankfurt line. 18% of town, and the most densely settled (and much the least affluent) portion. Not a historical town but a postwar suburban development. Quite geriatric though as the people who moved there original are getting old.
Dortelweil: turnout 64.1 (-3.9), CDU 36.5 (-1.4), FDP 20.2 (+7.4), Greens 18.4 (+6.6), SPD 17.8 (-13.0), Left 4.1 (+0.4)
To the north. 20% of town. Former municipality. Old Dortelweil east of the railroad tracks is a rather nice, lovely village, too dead to want to live in. West of the railway is horrid suburbia interspersed with commercial use, and has grown like no tomorrow in the 90s. In local elections, traces of Dortelweil's former status as an SPD-voting village are still discernible... at higher levels, not so much (meanwhile, core Bad Vilbel votes much more heavily CDU in local elections - they've had a majority since god knows when).
Massenheim: turnout 65.0 (-1.6), CDU 40.8 (-3.4), FDP 19.8 (+5.8), SPD 17.3 (-11.7), Greens 16.7 (+8.4), Left 2.3 (+0.3)
Gronau: turnout 59.6 (-3.5), CDU 40.4 (-3.3), FDP 20.4 (+7.2), SPD 15.2 (-10.7), Greens 13.9 (+5.2), Left 5.0 (+1.1)
Commuter villages, former municipalities, about 8% each. Some new ugly development at Massenheim (just west of the core, so duh), very little at Gronau (over east... why'd they even annex that to Bad Vilbel? Oh right, the villages east of that are in another district.)
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« Reply #93 on: January 21, 2009, 11:27:49 AM »

Lol, CDU won every precinct in Fulda town except this tiny one (probably some outlying village)...

Bürgerhaus Rodges    122 voters, 54 votes cast    
CDU 15 27,8% (-12,2)    
SPD 10 18,5% (-2,8)    
FDP 19 35,2% (+16,5)    
Greens 8 14,8% (+5,5)
Left   2 3,7% (-3,0)

Three precincts (all seem to be downtown) where SPD+Greens+Left>50%, though.
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« Reply #94 on: January 22, 2009, 08:31:27 AM »

How detailed do you want them? I could post a link and name the actual dividing roads; or I could just give broad geographic directions.
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« Reply #95 on: January 22, 2009, 09:06:57 AM »
« Edited: January 22, 2009, 09:15:11 AM by ican'tbelievei'mnotverin »

203 - portion south of Cronstetten and east of Eysseneck/Justinian is with 202. Makes no sense, I know. This postal precinct collects three wholly different day voting precincts...
252 - 06/07 is east of Reinganum, Rhön, Luxemburger
322 - more lefty part is south of the railroad tracks
323 - bit complex as precincts tend to include both sides of a street here... 01-04 is Mittlerer Schafhofweg exclusive, Letzter Hasenpfad exclusive, Großer Hasenpfad and Tucholsky inclusive, Binding and points north.
332 - 01-04 is west of Wendelsweg. This isn't quite exact in some places, but it'll do.
372 - The bit between Adolf, Schwarzwald, Wald and Gerauer is with 533. Again, not exactly making much sense here...
380 - 04-07 is east of Buchrain and south of Offenbacher
621 - the bit with 622 is, north of the motorway (as if there ws anybody living there Smiley ) west of Liederbacher, north of Hermann Waibel and a line continuing west from that, west of the railroad track. Oh, and north of Silo, not that that matters either. (Ignore 623 marked as separate from 621 on the map. Oh, and I think those road names west of Hunsrück are just that so far - road names. I think they're *planning* to build houses here.) The difference between the two sides of Unterliederbach would be even more starkly apparent if they'd just stuck to the Stadtbezirke, of course.
441 - Another highly illogical division; 06-10 is west of Fuchshohl, Ginnheimer Hohl inclusive, Ginnheimer Landstraße, Am Eisernen Schlag exclusive. Plus (this is 441 10) the former US army housings on Sudermann, Platen, Kafka, Werfel in the southeast corner. And plus Stadtweg and Schönborn just thrown in that precinct for population balance, apparently. Feel free to simplify.
462 - Anywhere south of Sinaipark is with 463. As is the bit west of Grafen and north of Friedleben, and anywhere on Eschersheimer... but not Walter Leiske... again, feel free to simplify.
452 - bit with 451 is north of Willibracht and the railroad tracks. Most SPD-ish precinct in Eschersheim, incidentally.
461 - 07-11 is south of Feldscheiden excl, that gap, Ziegler.
390 - another silly one. 01-03 is, approximately and starting at the east, north of Wilhelmshöher, Hofhaus, Auerfeld to the edge of built-up territory, plus anywhere west of Arolser (and on Wilhelmshöher, the boundary is further east again, by that almost-gap. This makes sense on the ground as a boundary for the day precinct - keeping the Atzelberg highrises as one precinct of 390-04 and dividing the remainder - but it's not fun to describe like this.)
680 - 01-04&13 is north of Marktstr/B521 plus west of, approximately, Neuer Weg (actually it's a little more complex as a bit of terrain east seems to be included as well)and north of the cemetery.
05-08 is between Marktstr and Riedstr plus south of the cemetery west of Triebstr/Vilbeler
09-12 is the southeastern remainder.

link:
http://stadtplan.frankfurt.de/frankfurt/html/de/1280x1024.html

Click on Karten, Verwaltungsgrenzen, and then the thingy with "Stadtbezirke" in its description.

EDIT: Forgot Eckenheim.
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« Reply #96 on: January 23, 2009, 08:44:31 AM »

These elections saw the FDP's best showing in Frankfurt since 1954, and their fifth best result ever after (not in order) the 48 locals, 49 federals, and 50 and 54 state elections.

So... I took a trip to the Uni library to see what I could find out about 1954. Smiley

Introductory Fun:
There wasn't a postal vote then; instead it was possible to get a spesh voting card that allowed you to vote in any precinct in the state (a Wahlschein - it's still called that except it now allows you to vote by post or in any precinct within the same constituency. Obviously, you had to - still have to - hand it in, so you could only use it once). There also were a couple of spesh precincts in hospitals, nursery homes, and one at the train station where you could only vote with a Wahlschein.
Now to the fun part: The results in the special precincts in the nuns-operated Franziska Schervier retirement home and in the Johanna Kirchner retirement home, named for a social democratic martyr... these presumably include the votes of both residents and employees on duty that day.
Kirchner: 170 valid votes, SPD 86.5, CDU 7.6, FDP 3.5, KPD 2.4
Schervier: 144 valid votes, CDU 95.1, SPD 2.8, FDP 1.4, KPD 0.7
Lol fucking Lol.

Citywide result: SPD 46.5, CDU 25.6, FDP 17.1, KPD 4.1, BHE 4.0, DP 2.2, BdD 0.5

Results by constituencies (people had only one vote then, which elected both a direct candidate and a list - this remained the case until 1987, and remains the case in Baden-Württemberg and NRW today. Also, there were only 96 seats and 48 constituencies.)
Frankfurt had six constituencies, just as now (it had eight for a while in between though). Four northern towns and Bergen-Enkheim were not yet part of the city.

30 (Innenstadt, Gallus etc, West End, parts of the East End (140, 261) ) SPD 43.9, CDU 27.4, FDP 18.2, BHE 4.0, KPD 3.8, DP 2.1
31 (North End) SPD 46.3, CDU 25.9, FDP 16.5, KPD 4.0, BHE 3.5, DP 3.3
32 (south of the river except old Schwanheim (531) ) SPD 44.8, CDU 25.8, FDP 19.2, BHE 4.3, KPD 3.4, DP 2.1
33 (northeastern and eastern parts, from Fechenheim to Bonames; Bornheim, parts of the East End; eastern Dornbusch (462/3) ) SPD 47.3, CDU 23.9, FDP 17.7, BHE 4.2, KPD 4.1, DP 2.2
34 (modern Frankfurt 2 plus Eschersheim, Ginnheim, western Dornbusch) SPD 47.0, CDU 23.7, FDP 18.5, KPD 4.5, BHE 3.9, DP 1.9
35 (modern Frankfurt 1 plus old Schwanheim) SPD 49.8, CDU 27.1, FDP 11.5, KPD 5.0, BHE 4.4, DP 1.8

in more detail... I'm lumping some stuff for comparison sake here. Because I didn't take down *exact* vote totals, this is somewhat susceptible to rounding error.

(see next post)
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« Reply #97 on: January 23, 2009, 09:32:34 AM »
« Edited: January 23, 2009, 09:57:39 AM by ican'tbelievei'mnotverin »

This'll follow the modern postal precincts as far as possible. (Where not possible, they'll be either grouped, or a near equivalent presented instead. Or both.)

Altstadt t 78.9 SPD 35.1, CDU 34.8, FDP 19.6, BHE 5.8 (I'm listing all parties over 5%, I've just decided)
Innenstadt t 65.2 SPD 45.4, CDU 27.0, FDP 17.1
Gutleut/Bahnhof t 68.3 SPD 50.4, CDU 23.6, FDP 16.0
Gallus 1, without 164 t 73.2 SPD 56.4, CDU 20.8, FDP 10.8, KPD 6.1
Gallus 2, with 164 t 74.6 SPD 53.5, CDU 21.8, FDP 11.6, BHE 5.3, KPD 5.2
West End S 1 t 70.4 CDU 36.1, FDP 28.7, SPD 27.6
West End S 2 t 67.6 CDU 37.1, FDP 29.3, SPD 27.5
West End S 3 t 70.6 SPD 33.1, CDU 32.1, FDP 26.4
West End N t 69.0 SPD 33.7, CDU 32.8, FDP 24.3, BHE 5.2
Bockenheim 1, with Industriehof t 73.7 SPD 48.0, CDU 22.8, FDP 18.0
Bockenheim 2 t 75.0 SPD 52.9, CDU 20.7, FDP 15.9, KPD 5.3
Bockenheim 3 t 74.9 CDU 35.5, SPD 32.3, FDP 25.9
Bockenheim 4 t 76.1 SPD 49.4, CDU 21.5, FDP 17.5, BHE 5.4
North End W 1 t 69.4 SPD 35.4, CDU 30.4, FDP 24.2
North End W 2-4 t 71.2 SPD 35.6, CDU 31.3, FDP 23.9
North End W 5 t 72.8 SPD 47.7, CDU 26.5, FDP 13.9
North End W 6 t 73.4 SPD 48.1, CDU 23.6, FDP 16.6
North End E 1 t 69.1 SPD 40.8, CDU 27.9, FDP 16.5, BHE 6.7
North End E 2 t 73.2 SPD 48.5, CDU 24.2, FDP 15.3
North End E 3 t 75.9 SPD 52.2, CDU 22.2, FDP 14.1
North End E 4 t 70.5 SPD 52.5, CDU 21.2, FDP 12.0, KPD 6.0
North End E 5 t 73.3 SPD 53.7, CDU 24.7, FDP 10.5, KPD 5.4
East End 1 66.3 SPD 45.0, CDU 25.4, FDP 16.8
East End 2 72.4 SPD 43.1, CDU 26.0, FDP 18.3
East End 3-4 t 75.7 SPD 38.8, CDU 28.3, FDP 24.0
Bornheim 1 t 72.9 SPD 53.9, CDU 22.3, FDP 13.3
Bornheim 2 t 71.9 SPD 52.0, CDU 20.4, FDP 15.2, KPD 5.2
Bornheim 3 t 77.1 SPD 45.0, CDU 28.4, FDP 18.3
Bornheim 4 t 71.1 SPD 51.5, CDU 24.5, FDP 13.0, KPD 5.4
Sachsenhausen N 1 t 72.1 SPD 55.2, CDU 19.5, FDP 13.3, KPD 5.2
Sachsenhausen N 2 t 73.8 SPD 40.5, CDU 27.8, FDP 21.1
Sachsenhausen N 3-4, with 325 t 75.8 CDU 36.2, SPD 29.0, FDP 27.6
Sachsenhausen N 5 t 72.2 SPD 41.4, CDU 27.1, FDP 21.6
Sachsenhausen S 1-3, without 325 t 76.0 SPD 43.4, CDU 24.3, FDP 18.0, BHE 9.5
Sachsenhausen S 4-5 t 76.8 SPD 34.5, CDU 31.7, FDP 25.0
Niederrad, without 533 t 77.2 SPD 49.8, CDU 23.1, FDP 18.1
Oberrad t 80.9 SPD 53.7, CDU 19.8, FDP 17.2
Schwanheim 1 t 74.3 SPD 46.4, CDU 34.3, FDP 10.2
Schwanheim 2, with 533 (not that that was built on yet) t 75.3 SPD 63.9, CDU 17.3, KPD 7.3, FDP 5.1
Griesheim 1 t 76.5 SPD 53.3, CDU 19.6, FDP 13.0, KPD 6.0, BHE 5.4
Griesheim 2 t 75.6 SPD 54.8, CDU 21.1, FDP 10.2, BHE 6.0, KPD 5.9
Nied t 78.8 SPD 54.4, CDU 23.4, FDP 9.4, KPD 7.6
Höchst t 77.1 SPD 45.7, CDU 29.7, FDP 14.3
Sindlingen, with 604 t 82.2 SPD 45.7, CDU 33.6, FDP 9.4, BHE 6.6
Zeilsheim, without 604 t 79.1 SPD 53.3, CDU 27.7, FDP 5.8, BHE 5.8, KPD 5.3
Unterliederbach t 76.5 SPD 47.6, CDU 26.8, FDP 16.0
Sossenheim t 75.1 SPD 50.2, CDU 29.0, FDP 11.0, KPD 5.4
Rödelheim t 77.3 SPD 52.0, CDU 21.4, FDP 13.3, KPD 6.1
Hausen, just the Stadtteil t 73.5 SPD 54.9, CDU 22.8, FDP 10.4, BHE 6.0
Praunheim 1 t 78.7 SPD 56.2, CDU 19.3, FDP 10.9, KPD 8.6
Praunheim 2,3 t 76.8 SPD 50.3, CDU 22.9, FDP 16.5
Heddernheim t 73.7 SPD 51.5, CDU 21.4, FDP 16.4
Niederursel t 73.7 SPD 45.8, FDP 25.5, CDU 18.4
Ginnheim t 75.5 SPD 44.8, CDU 23., FDP 21.1, KPD 5.5
Dornbusch 1 t 73.6 CDU 33.5, FDP 32.0, SPD 28.2
Dornbusch 2 t 76.5 SPD 31.8, CDU 31.4, FDP 28.4
Eschersheim t 75.5 SPD 37.8, FDP 27.3, CDU 26.8
Eckenheim t 79.2 SPD 51.3, CDU 21.4, FDP 15.3, BHE 6.2
Preungesheim t 75.8 SPD 46.8, FDP 21.9, CDU 20.1, BHE 5.3
Berkersheim t 75.3 SPD 39.2, FDP 33.5, CDU 18.2*
Bonames / Frankfurter Berg t 74.7 SPD 51.7, CDU 21.0, FDP 13.0, BHE 7.8
Seckbach t 76.3 SPD 47.9, CDU 23.0, FDP 19.6
Riederwald t 79.2 SPD 61.2, CDU 17.7, KPD 10.2, FDP 6.8
Fechenheim 1 t 80.5 SPD 54.4, CDU 21.0, FDP 13.1
Fechenheim 2 t 81.2 SPD 54.6, CDU 18.4, FDP 13.9, KPD 6.8

*I did take a look at the results of the first-ever postwar elections in 1946 once, and I recall the FDP taking 48% here to the SPD's 30-odd or low 40-odd and the CDU's next-to-nowt. Stuck out like a sore thumb.

A question about the postal precincts; when you say "where different from Stadtteile" are the Stadtteile lumped together for results purposes seperate postal precincts or are they still lumped together?
They are lumped together for postal purposes, which in fact is why they are lumped together for Stadtteil result presentation purposes. Exceptions (Hausen, Preungesheim/Berkersheim) listed in the notes. Smiley

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minionofmidas
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« Reply #98 on: January 23, 2009, 09:58:02 AM »

325/326.
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« Reply #99 on: January 23, 2009, 12:40:25 PM »

A little confused about the Unterliederbach divisions; did you get east and west mixed up at one point
Sadly, no.

The district is contiguous, but you will have to use a motorway in the wrong direction if you want to get from the one part to the other without leaving it.
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