First Poll in Colorado

[Mr.Phips]

Schaffer internal? He's toast.

A year and two months out?  Nah.

A 45-40 internal is about where I'd expect this to be.  I also expect Schaffer to pick up about two or three points over the polling come election day, similar (but less in magnitude) to how Allard gained signficantly between the final poll and election day in 2002.

This wasnt the case in 2004 though.  Most polls showed the Salazar/Coors race to be a dead heat and some even had Coors leading, yet Salazar won by four points.

[Mr.Phips]

Hmm, look what I predicted in May:

PS: I think the first CO presidential polls will show a slight advantage for the Republican candidate (0-5%) and a Toss-Up in the Senate. (+/- 3%)

I´d wait for a Rasmussen poll though to back this up, but Schaffer´ll have a hard time to win this thing. If Rasmussen or M-D show udall up by 5-10%, even a nominated Clinton eventually wouldn´t do much damage to drag Udall down below 50% ...

I don't really buy all of this talk that Hillary will drag down lots of Democrats.  The people who really hate her are probably going to come out anyway and vote against the Democratic nominee.