Will these PA Candidates lose their seats/flip parties?

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Charlie Dent- Possible upset with stronger challengers.  It's a lean Democratic district in a normal year.  I think Dent holds due to incumbency.

Charlie Dent's district is getting more and more Republican by the second.  With a perfect challenger and a perfect Democratic year, he might accidentally lose, but the guy is a veteran politico from a State Senate district including Allentown.

I mean, seriously.  Last year, his opponent spent about $1,000,000 to lose by seventeen points.  This isn't happening for Dems.  Period.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Yes, because you know, going from a 50-50 district in 2004 to a 56-43 district in 2008 certainly spells doom for the Democrats.

This is a D+2 district. The DCCC put some money here in 2008. The Democratic candidate spent a million dollars. Obama won the district in a "break Democratic" year.

And Charlie Dent still won by 17.

That's what spells doom for Democrats.

Though I'll be very interested in hearing where you think those 18 points of Democratic performance are going to come from!