The Obama coalition in 2016

[Old Man Willow]

Not sure. The polls seem to indicate a decent number of bitter AA's, there is usually a 5-10% drop off in support from Biden to Hillary among them in general election match ups.

[Old Man Willow]

I suppose that depends on whether the witch drops the ball or not. If she does the dumb, yet slimy and opportunistic thing she is capable of, she could run away from Obama and strangle the Obama realignment in it's cradle.

Well, she is a Clinton, so she will find a way to appeal to everyone at the same time

Not sure. The polls seem to indicate a decent number of bitter AA's, there is usually a 5-10% drop off in support from Biden to Hillary among them in general election match ups.

Such a drop-off (also by Hispanics) would be disastrous for Democrats in Ohio and Florida. It would make states like Georgia and North Carolina non-competitive.

Hillary is more popular than Obama among Hispanics, so she should be fine there. The AA numbers should be concerning to her though, especially since she will have to distance herself from Obama if he remains unpopular, thus causing further backlash.

[Old Man Willow]

I think Hillary will do better with Hispanics. The Tea Partiers/Ann Coulters have shifted their focus from ObamaCare to immigration, and whoever gets the nomination is going to have to pander to that constituency during the primaries, and probably say something completely asinine.