What is the ace up the establishment's sleeve? (user search)
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  What is the ace up the establishment's sleeve? (search mode)
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Author Topic: What is the ace up the establishment's sleeve?  (Read 301 times)
Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,344


« on: October 16, 2015, 11:37:51 PM »

Firstly, there is no establishment candidate yet. The vast majority of the establishment (Govs, Reps and Senators) have yet to endorse and a lot of establishment money is still waiting things out to see how things shake up.

Also we have yet to see a big establishment backed anti-Trump TV campaign. There has been talk of one, but even Jeb's big Super PAC hasn't started going after Trump (they are focusing on pro-Bush ads). Back in 2012 the establishment piled on Gingrich before IA with big spends and took him down, when he popped back up again by winning SC they did it again in FL and took him down again.

As for how 'Trump will always win' the money game, as I noted in the fundraising thread, Trump has yet to really spend any money. He keeps saying he will but he hasn't yet. If the establishment (via Rove and/or other outside groups) spend $50M taking down Trump will he match them or outspend them? I'm not so sure.

On top of paid TV, you will see Fox News fill up with surrogates and elected Republicans attacking Trump every day, just like you did with Gingrich back in 2012.  In that case some of the conservative media (notably Drudge) also joined in with the anti-Gingrich wave.
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Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,344


« Reply #1 on: October 16, 2015, 11:53:15 PM »

there were a handful of Club for Growth anti-Trump ads, the total spend was $1m. Right to Rise latest buy is $24M and it is all pro-Bush biography ads. No negative ads. Trump has yet to deal with a real onslaught of negative advertising.
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