Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
Posts: 8,344
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« on: October 24, 2016, 03:50:03 PM » |
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« edited: October 24, 2016, 04:00:27 PM by Likely Voter »
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Clinton winning by 5 with those demographics could result in her getting fewer EVs than Obama 2012 even with a bigger PV margin. Using the 538 thingie it looks like she would pick up NC but lose IA, OH and ME2, which isn't out of the question when you look at state polling.
Obviously a lot of that comes down to the non-college white vs college white vs non-white turnouts.
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