538 Model Megathread (user search)
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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« on: November 05, 2016, 11:49:15 AM »

Nick Gourevitch ‏@nickgourevitch  1h1 hour ago
There has not been a large (2 points+) polling error that has gone against Democrats since 1996. Chart via @ForecasterEnten:



The polls have never actually been wrong in 50..maybe 70 years.
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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Posts: 36,686
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« Reply #1 on: November 05, 2016, 12:44:57 PM »

I would say his chances lie between 15 and 35%.
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