Are the Republicans eventually in trouble down the road? (user search)
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  Are the Republicans eventually in trouble down the road? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Are the Republicans eventually in trouble down the road?  (Read 2690 times)
Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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« on: November 21, 2016, 04:25:26 PM »

Republicans are overly dependent on older voters and have essentially written off the Millennial generation for years, and probably completely with 4 years of Trump. 18-29 is a critical time in a person's life, where many views on the world, various issues and political parties are developed and hardened. The way the GOP has reacted to a changing America and how Millennials accept that is almost as if they implemented a strategy specifically to alienate future generations of voters post-Reagan.

Between the rapid growth of racial minorities, the decline of religion and Millennials eating up more and more of the electorate, Republicans should, imo, expect to see significant electoral problems in the early-mid 2020s, when Millennials come to make up at least half of actual voters.

It's hard to see how it will all play out, but Republicans shouldn't think that unified control and big downballot success right now means they have solid footing going into the future. Democrats probably thought the same in 1992/2008, and yet everything changed 2 years later.


And the new batch of kids seem to be even more Democratic. However, even a very conservative R attracted enough moderate minorities this time to build a big enough tent. Democrats seem to just seem to ne having a hard time finding people.

Ultimately, the question is whether the Democratic Party base is just not set up in a way to attract the most graceful people (maybe Republicans  do well with relatively fewer skills because of the Gift of Gab and that helps them win elections?) and if so, can they overcome the recruitment and social skills deficit?

This is kind of a more thought out "Last guts finish last" thought expirement.
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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Posts: 36,667
United States


« Reply #1 on: November 22, 2016, 11:12:17 AM »

Both parties are in utter turmoil IMO.

The Republicans have had the Trumpists launch a coup and create a tense, uneasy peace.

The Democrats are struggling to find a new direction and new leadership, and risk becoming as dysfunctional as the UK Labour Party.

We are entering a new party system and transitioning from the one that has existed since the late 1960s.

History will show 2016 as a significant shift in the political malaise.

You are probably on the money.
I can see a situation where the GOP is radicalized and the Democrats are even marginalized even more. Eventually, the Reublicans will become totally unaccountable and we will face a crisis that we will totally be unable to combat because of it.
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