I would be shocked if Fiorina wins and Whitman loses. It's nice to see that this race is tightening, though.
Boxer (other than a few junk University polls) has very rarely exceeded 50% in the polls.
Even when she was running against thin air she was polling 46 or 47%.
This race looks and feels like it might be an upset.
Whenever you wake up the day after an election and there is a "shock" - the pre-election polls always looked exactly like this race looks today.
On an even money bet, I'd bet on Boxer, give me 2 to 1 odds, I'll bet on Fiorini - this is still very much a live race.