No chance....that's what he's got. And my county actually matters, it's most of a single electoral college vote, that IS in play (Obama got it in 08)....at least would be if the GOP wasn't full of dummies.
Er Romney won it, and even in 2008 Obama only got about 51.5% there. Of course with the current polling numbers and state of the race that would mean that Trump is probably more likely to lose it than win it, but "no chance" is sadly not the case.
You're probably a lot more right than I'd want to admit.