that obama would win va, nc in and ne-02...BUT LOSE mo....would you have posted it in the comedy coldmenine thread?
win va was conventional wisdom at that point.
win nc was the favored view, but personally I thought that the polls were off a bit, based on results in 2000, 2004 and my own personal reaction to Helms election in 1984. But having said that I wouldn't have thought it was outlandish to predict an Obama win there.
MO was a pure tossup all the way - I was pretty confident it would be a nailbiter.
NE-2 was a wildcard that most just assumed was an Obama pipe dream and no one really focused on because it's only 1 EV. That's really the only shock among the results you mention and given the relative lack of polling and attention, really not that crazy.
