The absentee/early vote thread

[RJEvans]

Do we have FL numbers from this point in the election in 2012?

[RJEvans]

Looks like Trump's ground game disaster is unfolding in North Carolina. The GOP needs to run of the margin in the absentee vote to win the state.

I think it's best to wait and see what happens in the early voting period. We really don't know who is voting for who. A lot of them could be older conservative Democrats who support Trump.

Thought the number for GOP in CD2 would be higher. Perhaps polls overstating GOP support or Dems crossing over? Too early to tell, alas

Looking at the graph it looks like there was a net negative shift somewhere in the single digits for the Dems and a net positive shift somewhere in the single digits for the Republicans. I think it's too early to tell if this will be meaningful.

[RJEvans]

Mook is a genius folks. Don't you ever doubt that beautiful son of a bitch.

He seemed so calm and assured when he appeared on The View. That's good job but for some reason I trust him when he said don't panic we will win.

[RJEvans]

Ultimately, IA and OH won't matter so long as Clinton wins NC and FL.

[RJEvans]

Interesting vote tracker for North Carolina from Upshot:

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/upshot/north-carolina-early-vote-tracker.html?smid=fb-nytimes&smtyp=cur&_r=0

I don't know if they have one for other states.

I'm curious to see how accurate this may be.