Orange County, CA (UC Irvine): Biden +8 (user search)
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June 02, 2024, 07:39:42 AM
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2024 U.S. Presidential Election
  2024 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, GeorgiaModerate, KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸)
  Orange County, CA (UC Irvine): Biden +8 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Orange County, CA (UC Irvine): Biden +8  (Read 533 times)
Sbane
sbane
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« on: May 06, 2024, 09:48:12 PM »

Good result for Biden, however I'd like to see him build on his 2020 margin here, not just match it.

I'd love to see more county polls in the swing states, since it may give us a clearer picture of where things stand.

If this is accurate, it shows that Biden is holding up well in educated, affluent, diversifying suburban communities. Also bodes well for Cobb/Gwinnett (GA), Oakland/Kent (MI) and collar counties (PA), but still has work to do.

One thing to keep in mind about Orange county is that it is surprisingly working class. Sure it has places like Irvine, the south coast and the beach cities but it also has places like Santa Ana and central Anaheim. There are also lots of middle class areas like La Habra, Buena Park, Garden Grove etc that don't fully fit the mold of affluent and well educated suburbs. It is a decidedly middle class area full of non-whites that polls are suggesting are fleeing from Biden. This is actually a decent poll for him considering all that.
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