Alben Barkley
KYWildman
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Posts: 19,294
Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74
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« on: May 13, 2019, 06:58:21 PM » |
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There is no scenario in which Trump loses the presidency but the Republicans take back the House. None.
There is, however, a scenario in which Trump could cling to the presidency in the EC while the GOP still does not take back the House. That would depend largely on Trump winning with the same map as 2016 or very similar, but the Democrats maintain their huge margins from 2016 and 2018 in the suburbs, particularly the California suburbs, allowing all those districts they swung (e.g. in Orange County) to stay D even as Trump scrapes by with narrow margins yet again in the rust belt, still losing the popular vote.
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