French Municipal Elections 2014: Hashemite's Guide and Official Thread

[MaxQue]

We follow, but there is not much to add to your poll coverage, so, we read, but say nothing.

[MaxQue]

Wow, I'm not sure that the far right gaining some towns would be so awful. After all, they would just show how incompetent they are.

I agree, but it would be awful for people living in those cities.

[MaxQue]

One of the biggest surprises of the right is Grenoble.

The Socialists (party leading the city) finished behind a Green-PG list. UMP is 3rd (the damages of the Carignon-era (corrupt right-wing mayor) are continuing). FN can go to 2nd second round too.

[MaxQue]

Predictions for Paris?

Hidalgo is still the clear favorite, since the left is ahead in all the swing arrondissements. Still, at this point, nightmarish scenarios can't be dismissed.

Well, the right is ahead in the 4th and 9th, but the left can hope to gain the 5th. But, those aren't big arrondissements and wouldn't be enough to change the winner of Paris. 4th and 9th would still result in a roughly 90-70 win for Hidalgo.

Adding left-wing and right-wing votes together by arrondissements gives 96-67 for the left.

Here is a simulator.

http://www.slate.fr/france/83079/municipales-paris-2014-simulateur-resultats

[MaxQue]

The elections of the agglomeration presidents is always funny.
This time, it's Lille Métropole (1.1 millions inhabitants, 85 communes).

The incumbent, Martine Aubry (PS), mayor of Lille, seeing she would lose decided to not run and instead endorse the centrist independant candidate, who won (with the votes of the left and centrist independants).

So, Damien Castelain, mayor of Péronne-en-Mélantois (872 inhabitants!) is the new president, at the astonishment of most. It's like the second-smallest commune of it.