British Columbia provincial election 2013

[MaxQue]

How low is the Liberal floor in this election? I know that in British Columbia there's a significant portion of the electorate that will never under any circumstances vote for the NDP; with the Conservatives looking less and less like a credible threat, this means it's unlikely for the Liberal tally to drop below a certain point.

Well, some of the usually Liberal voters might just stay home, too.

[MaxQue]

Is red Liberals? (not very logical if it is). I suppose the "Left Coast" must be Dipper territory?

In Canada, Liberals are using red since decades. Conservatives are blue, NDP is orange (but was also green or purple in the past).

[MaxQue]

Conservatives already lost 2 candidates.

On Monday, Jeff Sprague, candidate in North Vancouver-Lonsdale was arrested for DUI. Obviously, he was remplaced.

On Wednesday, the candidate in Vancouver-False Creek was removed as he said last fall on Twitter: "Who’s really to blame? Hitler or the people who acted on his words?", in January he said "Call me simplistic but I agree with Ron Paul. Drugs should be legalized. All drugs, not just pot. No slope then." and in 2011, he said "We men love sluts". Obviously a bit problematic during an election.

[MaxQue]

Dippers dump their Kelowna-Mission candidate for posting racist remarks about Aboriginals online.

Against Aboriginals and Francophones.

She refused to withdraw and will run as an independant.

[MaxQue]

Dippers dump their Kelowna-Mission candidate for posting racist remarks about Aboriginals online.

Against Aboriginals and Francophones.

She refused to withdraw and will run as an independant.

I imagine the Grits will retain the seat.

Even without that, they would have been favored. Kelowna isn't a good place for NDP.
Kelowna-Mission was 65-13-11 (Lib-NDP-Grn) in 2001, 54-32-13 (Lib-NDP-Grn) in 2005 and 54-26-12 (Lib-NDP-Cons) in 2009. NDP is competitive in the south of the downtown and in Rutland.

The map is pretty ugly there, the NDP-leaning downtown in split in 3 and paired with various ultra-liberal suburbs.

[MaxQue]

Metro Van:
NDP: 56
Lib: 23
Grn: 10
Cons: 9

Ouch for Liberals. With those numbers, I suppose Christy Clak lose her seat (not than it would be difficult, it's just leaning a little bit Liberal and Liberals never had huge majorities there).

[MaxQue]

In fact former Premier Gordon Campbell, most (in)famous for driving drunk in Hawaii, was appointed Canadian High Commissioner to the UK by Stephen Harper.

Through, that's not a proof of right-wingness, given he appointed former Manitoba Premier Gary Doer to be Ambassador to the US, despite being an NDP member.

[MaxQue]

In French, they only cover the Conservatives losing candidates and NDP new announcements. First news about Liberals is in 7th position, the next one in 15th position.

Conservatives lost a 4th candidate, Ron Herbert in Vacouver-West End for having calling Clark a bitch on Twitter and insulting Chief Justice McLachlin, and they dropped off the volunteer which was responsible for vetting candidates.

[MaxQue]

Is it just me, or is the CBC blatantly supporting the NDP?

How is this even news: http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/bcvotes2013/story/2013/04/30/bc-vote-compass-dix-wins-debate.html

A lot of their news seems to be pro-NDP. Not that I'm complaining to loudly of course, but it is a strange feeling, since I'm used to them loving the Liberals (but I suppose the NDP is the 'liberal' party in this race)

Insert rant about left wing media bias here.

Media has a centrist bias, DC.

[MaxQue]

Burquitlam is a terrible portmanteau. Commissioners should be ashamed.

[MaxQue]

Burquitlam is a terrible portmanteau. Commissioners should be ashamed.

Luckily no such riding exists anymore. But, I think they can be forgiven as it *may* be a local colloquialism. However, I don't know for sure.

It seems to be more than a colloquialism, Coquitlam seems to use the word to designate some part of the cities.

[MaxQue]

Clark tried to vote for herself... realized she voted wrong? wait what? in BC you can do advanced voting in a riding you don't live in? AND then vote for a candidate in another riding that your in? (article said she was in Burnaby voting for the Van-Fairview candidate?)

http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/story/2013/05/08/bc-christy-clark-vote.html

Yes, it's quite common, the possibility exists at the federal level and at Quebec level since last election, too.

It's mostly for people which are temporally away from their home and can't change their permanent address.

So, Clark lives in Van-Fairview and she decided to use what is called "special vote" at the federal level, I think.

[MaxQue]

Wrong. Federal doesn't have it, but Quebec has it, it's called "vote hors circonscription".

http://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/english/provincial/voting/voting-at-the-office-of-the-returning-officer.php

[MaxQue]

Proguesstion for that Ipsos poll is 58-27, no minor parties. I guess you're doing your final projection on Monday, Hatman? I'm just hoping Clark loses VPG so the BCLP can move on ASAP.

If I remember, he said he won't do any projection due to its new position as analyst for a pollster.

[MaxQue]

Surprised it's a real person which does that, not a computer.

[MaxQue]

Not feeling it. Even if that tighten, that would be a vey close NDP victory.

[MaxQue]

Still, wierd things. Liberals leads by 400 votes in Fraser-Nicola, which is pretty much an NDP safe seat.

[MaxQue]

What is with the Canadian Polls??

Ask them.

[MaxQue]

18-12-1-1 elected. Yeah, there's something seriously wrong with our polls. 4th election where they either underestimated the incumbent or completely blew it a la Dewey.

The problem is systemic, then. Can't be bad luck at this point.

[MaxQue]

Dix will resign or be putched before the end of the year.

[MaxQue]

Greens win Oak Bay. At least I got that one right.

Yes, but everyone is sad at the HQ since NDP apparently lost.

Schizophrenic party.

[MaxQue]

Peter Julian is making a "Ben lâ lâ" on French TV. Sounds very Québec.

[MaxQue]

Green leader lost. She said she would leave political life if she lost.
Suppose the door is wide open for Andrew Weaver.

[MaxQue]

Kwan and Julian are quite spinning hard on early vote.
Reeks of the last election, exact same thing.
Don't think it will change votes, through, given that early vote is weighting heavier every election.

[MaxQue]

NDP is needing to do serious and deep introspection to find the causes of that failure.
Checking all.

Leader, ground game, GOTV, campaign strategy, message...