Republican Iowa Caucus results thread (entrance poll @8pm ET) (user search)
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  Republican Iowa Caucus results thread (entrance poll @8pm ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Republican Iowa Caucus results thread (entrance poll @8pm ET)  (Read 34372 times)
muon2
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« on: February 02, 2016, 05:12:12 PM »

Apparently a lot of Trump people broke for Rubio last minute LOL

Probably from the more moderate, more secular, more upscale cohort of Trump voters. One lady was interviewed by Fox in the Des Moines area before the voting began who seemed like that.

Traitors! Instead of voting for working-class hero TRUMP they preferred the limp-wristed, metrosexual, establishment bitch who pals around with kiddie-porn barons.

LOL.  Just my type. I just added up the Pub total vote on my excel spreadsheet, with I guess not quite all the votes counted: 186,676, exceeding the 170,000 figure that the gurus thought might be the absolute maximum, and the suggestion that it really might get that high was derided in most quarters.  It is amazing Trump tanked with such a massive turnout. That is where the CW blew it the most. Trump's support must really have eroded rather massively at the end there. With that vote turnout, one would have thought that Trump would have garnered something like 33% of the vote or thereabouts, rather than 24%. The Cruz numbers guy on Fox said they were amazed that Trump did so poorly with such a high turnout, and Cruz so well.

It's useful to note that Trump got the type of numbers he expected. He did get the most votes ever except for Cruz. My initial look is that Cruz turned out evangelical voters who weren't registering as definite or probable caucus goers to polls like the Selzer/DMR and they swamped Trump's otherwise great turnout. Rubio benefited from switchers from lesser candidates, but also got a much better response from evangelicals than expected and that added up to his nearly overtaking Trump. I'll start a thread later today where I give more of my take based on two precincts in rural eastern IA.
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