NC: PPP: Romney +.2

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

This actually isn't comforting.

Why not?  Obama doesn't need North Carolina to win, and the fact that it's this close is a good sign.

It seems a couple points off, that's why. It's worrying that the others may be off as well.

It's a state that's moving left with an influx of Northerners and Hispanics, and at the same time moving right because whites in NC are going to swing a few points to Romney.  It's going to be close and PPP has nailed every statewide election they've done here... in 2008, a Democratic year, and 2010, a very weird Tea Party/GOP year.  

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

I don't think this is accurate, actually... I'll grant 3 pts to Romney.  Guess what?  He needed to do a lot better than winning NC by 3 to extrapolate a win on the national level.  

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

And in 2010, Nate Silver did a piece about how PPP polling NC actually leads to them getting pretty bad results. PPP had the 2010 NC race as a toss-up, don't forget...

It's going to be close and PPP has nailed every statewide election they've done here... in 2008, a Democratic year, and 2010, a very weird Tea Party/GOP year.  

Okay, what, exactly, did PPP's final 2010 polls say?

Nailed the Senate race, R+12