Rasmussen MT, NC, IN, KY: Closeness is the norm(except for Kentucky)

[ChrisFromNJ]

I would assume this is Rasmussen's last North Carolina poll. It will be interesting to see if Rasmussen gets it right. They were right on in 2004.

[ChrisFromNJ]

I think if Obama can keep Indiana within 2-3 and McCain under 50, his much, much superior ground-game in the state should make the difference.

I have heard this repeatedly from Obama supporters and it totally misrepresents what a 'groundgame' is.  A groundgame does not magically manifest on election day. Instead it is the phone calls, door knocking, and talking within the community has been taken place over months.  Yes, the Obama campaign is doing more of that, and yes, it will continue to do more of that until election day. But results of the past three months of 'groundgame' are reflected in the polls already.  The only place were groundgame really matters the day of election is the caucus states.  The .001% of people that are driven to the polls by members of Obama's 'groundgame' are not going to swing this election.

A good ground game also includes getting the vast majority of your targeted registered voters to the polls on election day. So if your ground game truly is exceptional, it often might not manifest itself in the polls until Election Day results start coming in.

[ChrisFromNJ]

I would assume this is Rasmussen's last North Carolina poll. It will be interesting to see if Rasmussen gets it right. They were right on in 2004.

Is this some kind of practical joke?  When Rasmussen releases a poll that is favorable for Obama, you praise him, but you call him a right wing hack when there is a favorable result for McCain?

When did I ever praise him in my above post?

I never did.

I am predicting North Carolina to be Obama +3, so I am thinking that this Rasmussen poll is 1 or 2 points more favorable to the GOP, which I believe has been a trend all year.

I just said that as a point of reference; one would think this is his last poll.