I'd go as far as to say the winner of Iowa wins the election. For me, it is actually the best barometer of opinion-where Missouri was 15 years ago.
Well, it has been a pretty good bellwether recently, but it was totally off in 1988.
yeah, even more democrat than masachusetts!
And that was 1988. As I said, it is where Missouri was 15 years ago. In a couple of decades (maybe even sooner) it may move further north to Minnesota-which was hardly a swing state in 1984. The bellwether is moving, slowly, north.