Cook Political rating changes: Florida to Tossup, Nevada to Lean D

[NOVA Green]

FL would definitely be a state where Toss-Up / Tilt (0-5% either win for either Party) would seem to apply regardless of National Polling and dynamics for either Political Party within a GE environment.

We have a considerable amount of polling evidence that Biden is out-performing among Seniors (although that lead appears to be slipping a bit in recent Months), and some more recent polling which throws the "Latino Voter" potential shifts out there among Cuban-Americans, or possibly Venezuelan-Americans, etc....

So fine on FL being in the Tossup/Tilt Category...

Nevada as others have posted sounds a bit more bizarre...

Sure Trump did obtain 45/46% of the vote vs HRC only at 48%...

No Greens on the ballot only Gary Johnson and "None of the Above" Voters (Which perhaps one could use as a proxy for WI votes)...

LBT voters in NV will likely skew Biden....

None of the Above... could be a mixture of Sanders / McMullin voters...

Still, regardless of the hypothetical scenarios in their write-ups, we have to look at the *actuals* from '16 GE-PRES, and although I am extremely skeptical about turning NV into only a Trump State...

Pretty sure Biden will win by at least 8% in '20... Still def not a State where Biden should be complacent in...

Uncle Joe 6-8% will roll downballot...

Plus Henderson, NV looks like a flip-zone...